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Best Blog Posts of The Week

July 31, 2010 By: Mark Category: Finance, Personal Finance

Favorite Investing & Personal Finance Posts

Free From Broke explains how Dollar Cost Averaging Helps Eliminates Emotion.

Money Help For Christians discusses how investors will be affected by Mutual Fund and Capital Gains Tax Changes.

Invest it Wisely has an interesting article on A Millionaire Teacher.

Adam at Rabbit Funds has a different take on  The Number One Thing You Should Consider When Investing.

Barel Karsan has an investment opportunity for investors with Small Portfolios Out There.

Len Penzo lists 8 Reasons Why You’re Getting An F In Personal Finance.

Money Monk asks Have You Really Looked At How Much Money You Make?

KNS Financial elaborates on a Yahoo Finance article on 12 Tricks To Make Us Spend Big.

This is an older post by Joe Taxpayer about Warren Buffett: Hero Or Opportunist. I added it because it discusses Warren Buffett.

Moneyed Up

July 31, 2010 By: Mark Category: Finance

I have just started writing for Moneyed Up. Moneyed Up focuses on increasing your income, saving money wisely, and reducing expense. Check out the site. Thanks!

The Shrinking Middle Class

July 28, 2010 By: Mark Category: Finance

The American middle class is on the verge of extinction. The gap is widening between the have’s and the have not’s.  Look at the following disturbing statistics from the Business Insider.

- 83 percent of all U.S. stocks are in the hands of 1 percent of the people.
- 61 percent of Americans “always or usually” live paycheck to paycheck.
- 66 percent of the income growth between 2001 and 2007 went to the top 1% of all Americans.
- For the first time in U.S. history, banks own a greater share of residential housing net worth in the United States than all individual Americans put together.
- In 1950, the ratio of the average executive’s paycheck to the average worker’s paycheck was about 30 to 1. Since the year 2000, that ratio has exploded to between 300 to 500 to one.
- The top 1 percent of U.S. households own nearly twice as much of America’s corporate wealth as they did just 15 years ago.
- More than 40 million Americans are on food stamps.
- This is what American workers now must compete against: in China a garment worker makes approximately 86 cents an hour and in Cambodia a garment worker makes approximately 22 cents an hour.
- Approximately 21 percent of all children in the United States are living below the poverty line in 2010 - the highest rate in 20 years.
- Despite the financial crisis, the number of millionaires in the United States rose a whopping 16 percent to 7.8 million in 2009.
- The top 10 percent of Americans now earn around 50 percent of our national income.

The problem with the United States economy is that the middle class is rapidly being eradicated. The number of haves are increasing while the number of have not’s are decreasing. Middle class Americans are the backbones of the American economy and spend a greater share of their income on consumption. The middle class consumer is struggling for survival while the rich are getting even richer. It is becoming increasingly apparent that the U.S economy will never recover without the return of the middle class consumer.

Here are 5 reasons why the middle class may soon be extinct.

1. Wages are shrinking.

Median wages are lower today than they were 40 years ago. Since there is more competition for every job in the country, employers are paying less than ever to consumers. The bottom 20% of Americans have seen their incomes increase only 10.7% since 1975. The “middle class” have seen their wages increase 29.4% over the past 25 years. The top 20% have seen their incomes increase 73.8% since 1975 and the wealthiest 5% (ultrarich) have seen their incomes rise an astounding 108%.

2. Companies are outsourcing their jobs overseas.

Since wages are cheaper overseas, companies are employing more foreign workers and domestic workers are struggling to find employment. Cheap labor is increasing the bottom line for companies and driving working Americans right out of jobs. Fortune 500 companies are no longer the creators of jobs in the U.S. They have instead become the enrichers of corporate executives.

3. The United States no longer has a strong industrial base.

Our economy is a service economy and services are the first things that people cut during recessionary times. The biggest problem is that we just don’t make anything in the U.S. anymore. So called “domestic” companies like Walmart buy all of their goods from countries like Asia, China, and Korea. Walmart is the largest importer of goods in the U.S. The decline in manufacturing has led to huge trade deficits with countries like China.

4. Housing prices have plummeted.

The biggest financial asset for most middle class Americans is their homes. Home prices are how most American measure how wealthy they are. With housing prices in the toilet, middle class Americans are poorer today than they were just a few years ago. With limited access to capital and a horrific job market, more middle class Americans will drop into the ranks of poverty.

5. The rich get government subsidies.

Tax cuts, farm subsidies, oil subsidies, bank bailouts have all benefitted the rich over the past decade. Corporations use government assistance to pay large salaries and bonuses to company management while middle class Americans are left on the hook to pay for the burgeoning deficit. Corporations find it easier to lay off thousands of employees than for a few corporate execs to take a pay cut. The rich also pay a lower tax rate than middle class Americans. Business writeoffs and tax cuts kept the tax rate for the 400 richest Americans at just 16.62% in 2007. Warren Buffett refers to tax cuts for the rich as “class welfare” because it supplies ‘major aid to the rich in their pursuit of greater wealth.”

How would you go about getting the middle class back and strong again?

Get Ready To See The Amoco Name Again

July 26, 2010 By: Mark Category: Finance, News

BP (NYSE: BP) may have survived the Gulf coast oil spill but the company is undergoing a major change. The company’s long time name is likely to change. The company is already cleaning out top level management with CEO Tony Hayward expected to lose his position. Top level management will be dismissed due to the poor handling of the oil crisis. The next thing to likely go away is the BP name. BP has to change the company name in order to move forward. The new name will be familiar to old customers, Amoco.

The name Amoco still has goodwill in America and will allow the company to shred its permanently damaged name. This is a good move for BP because the American public has a short memory. Over time consumers will forget that Amoco was ever BP and the company will be able to resume operations in the U.S. without its current stigma.

Weekly Best Blog Posts

July 25, 2010 By: Mark Category: Finance, News

Investing Posts

Dividend Growth Investor looks at 5 Big Brands That Are Growing Their Dividends.

My post at MoneyUnder30 details 5 Growth Stocks For Young Investors.

Old School Value believes that BP Is A Buying Opportunity.

Dividend Tree states that Exxon Is Priced To Buy.

Personal Finance Posts

Wealth Pilgrim takes a look at exactly How Much Money Do You Need To Retire.

Financial Samurai discusses how to make money in the financial blogosphere with his post on Buying and Selling Blogs.

Free Money Finance believes that  Too Many People Are Relying On Social Security For Their Retirement.

Money Reasons asks If The Market Crash Is An Opportunity To Invest?

Bargaineering asks If Home Ownership Is Really The American Dream?

General Electric Stock Analysis

July 23, 2010 By: Mark Category: Investing

General Electric (NYSE: GE) has been dead money for some time now. The stock is down nearly $40 and down 72.5% over the last 10 years. The company finally reported positive quarterly earnings after two and a half years of declining earnings. The company earned $3.3 billion dollars (30 cents per share) as second quarter earnings increased 15%.

During the most recent conference call, CEO Jeff Immelt noted that “Equipment orders increased 17%, including 20% growth in the Energy Infrastructure segment and 14% at Technology Infrastructure. Oil & Gas and Healthcare orders were particular bright spots and helped hold total company orders backlog roughly flat, excluding the impact of foreign exchange.”

While it’s great that bottom line growth is improving, GE still came in light on top line growth. Revenue came in at $37.4 billion which is a 4.3% decline. This is a clear indication that some of GE’s positive results were due to cost cutting moves. Growth was positive at every division except for Technology Infrastructure. The highlights were as follows:
- +93% growth at GE Capital
- +13% growth at NBC Universal
- +59% growth at Home & Business Solutions
- -11% decline at Technology Infrastructure

A major problem area for GE over the past few years has been its GE Capital division. GE Capital is the financial arm of General Electric that provides commercial loans to small and mid sized businesses. GE Capital was adversely affected by the credit bubble bursting over the past few years. The division had $84 billion dollars in real estate alone. Immelt allowed GE Capital to balloon in size in recent years and the division ended up holding over $550 billion dollars in assets. The real estate business has been a difficult area for GE with the company losing $524 million last quarter.

Well, the good news for GE is that the losses at GE Capital appear to be abating. In the 2nd quarter of this year, GE Capital delivered a 93% increase in net income earning $700 million dollars. The company believes that the worst is over for its financing arm. GE Capital grew so large that it put the entire GE franchise at risk so the company is slowly selling off assets to reduce its size.

GE may have a huge debt load but the company is well capitalized. GE reported over $74 billion dollars in cash and cash equivalents. The firm generated $6.3 billion in free cash flow last quarter. This is a 10% decline from last year’s $7 billion dollar intake. GE is still awaiting regulatory approval of its $13.75 billion dollar deal to sell 51% of NBC Universal to Comcast.

Healthcare and oil and gas segments performed particularly well. An industrial rebound would be a major boost to General Electric’s dormant stock price. GE’s industrial and manufacturing businesses and financing arm would be major beneficiaries of any uptick in industrial production.

Earnings are projected at $1.30 for 2011 and $1.60 for 2012. This puts a P/E of 11.4 for 2011 and 9.3 for 2012. Shares trade at 1.4 times book value. The total expected return is 13.45% with earnings expected to grow at 10.75% and a dividend of 2.7%. Management expects to increase the dividend payout next year. GE is no longer the safe buy and hold forever company that it once was. The stock has a standard deviation of approximately 25%.

At under $15 per share, GE is an attractive company due to the large future cash flows, earnings potential, and the expected dividend hike.

Disclosure: I do own shares of GE.

 

Photo by: Mykl Roventine

How To Become A Millionaire

July 21, 2010 By: Mark Category: Making Money

The goal for most people is to one day become a millionaire. Becoming a millionaire is not as difficult as you think. You just need to acquire a net worth of $1 million dollars. This means that the value of all of your assets together minus your liabilities should be equal to $1 million dollars.

Here are 5 steps that will put you on the road to becoming a millionaire.

1. Buy a piece of property.

One of the easiest ways to increase your net worth is by investing in a home. The premise behind owning property is that the value should appreciate over time. Your balance owed decreases as you make payments and the equity in your home should increase. If you buy a home valued at $200,000 and make 10 years worth of payments, it’s reasonable to expect that the home could easily appreciate to a value of $250,000 and your loan balance could decrease to $150,000. This would give you equity of $100,000.

2. Start investing.

Find an asset that you believe will increase in value over time and invest. Invest during the good times and the bad ones. The problem for most people is that they don’t invest heavily enough in their best ideas. Start investing with just $100 and see what happens. If you could invest $250/month for a ten year time period, you would have close to $50,000. If you invested $500/month for 10 years, you would have $93,000. I am assuming a return of 8% per year which is reasonably possibly. You could invest in REIT’s or MLP’s and easily earn 8% in dividend yield alone. You could also get a 5% to 6% dividend return on high yielding stocks (ex: Verizon) and would just need to generate 3% via capital appreciation.

3. Accumulate, accumulate, accumulate.

The first goal is to accrue $100,000 in capital. After that it gets a whole lot easier to get a net worth of $1,000,000. If you invest $100,000 and get a 5% return on your money, than you would have earned $5,000 in interest alone. Remember that every dollar that you have is either working for you or against you. Make your dollars work for you by maximizing the return. Get your money out of the big banks and place it in higher yielding FDIC insured accounts. You may have to sacrifice and make cuts to reach your goal but when you get there it will definitely be worth it.

4. Develop multiple streams of income.

Unless you are an athlete, high level corporate exec, or a trust fund baby; it’s unlikely that you will become a millionaire off of your job alone. Create a side income for yourself. Find a need and fill it. Start a business, develop a business idea, create a website or pick up freelance jobs. It is possible to pick up an extra $25k to $50k per year working from home in your spare time. Do something. Use your free time to generate extra money. Make productive use of every moment that you have. You never know which business venture will be the one that makes you your fortune.

5. Never lose sight of your goal.

Keep track of your progress by evaluating your goals monthly and determine if you are on track to reach your million dollar goal. Use financial calculators to gauge your progress. If you notice you are falling behind, change your plan. Increase your income, reduce an expense or change your investment strategy. Most people never achieve their financial goals because they are afraid to take risks. You will have to take some risk if you want to realize your dream. Never follow the crowd. If you do what everyone else has done, than you will get the exact same results as everyone else.

My Best Picks Over The Past Month

July 20, 2010 By: Mark Category: Finance

US Steel (X) has had a nice bounce since I recommended that investors pick up shares in the mid $30’s at the beginning of the month. Shares are up $7 giving investors an 18% gain.

Back on June 25th I recommended that investors get long Research In Motion (RIMM) when shares hit the $40’s. Shares appear to have bottomed out right at $47. The stock is up to $55 now. Investors should take profits now. I think that Research In Motion is headed lower.

On July 5th I suggested that investors get long Intel (INTC) at $19.48 and General Electric (GE) at $13.97. Shares of Intel have rallied 10.5% to over $21.50. GE has rallied 7.1%. I think that shares of GE have much more upside so I will continue to hold shares of General Electric.

My Current Picks

Bank of America (BAC) is a steal at $13 per share.

Exxon Mobil (XOM) is being given away at under $60.

Apple (AAPL) is worth buying at $245 a share. I would get long Apple shares.

I Am Still On The BofA Bandwagon

July 19, 2010 By: Mark Category: Finance

I added more shares of Bank of America (BAC) through my DRIP plan today. Shares of Bank of America trade at just $13.46. The stock has been punished due to its lackluster earnings report and the expected negative impact that financial reform may have on BofA’s earnings. Let’s take a look at the pros and cons of investing in Bank of America.

The negatives for Bank of America are as follows:

1) Credit losses continue to rise as delinquency rates are increasing. Bank of America has tremendous exposure to the real estate market and credit card market.

2) Financial reform is expected to put a cap on interchange rates. This would severely impact debit card fee income.

3) Trading revenues dropped substantially after bolstering the bank in Q1.

4) Much of last quarter’s profitability was due to one time gains such as the sales of bank assets.

So, why should you buy the shares?

Bank of America trades at a discount to book value. The bank’s earnings power is still incredibly strong. Fee income could easily offset any future losses. I expect Bank of America to find new ways of generating fee income by charging for services that used to be free. Increased checking account service charges and increased account activity fees.

The large deposit base gives Bank of America the cheapest form of capital. Bank of America has enough cash reserves to weather any economic downturn.

The downside is already baked into the stock’s price. Analysts have been rushing to downgrade shares of BofA. This is a bank that could easily earn $3 a share in in 5 years. Even if Bank of America only earns $2 per share 3 years from now, the stock still only trades at just 6.5 times earnings.

This is definitely not an overnight play. It may take years for things to shake out at Bank of America. However, I think that patient long term investors will be rewarded when the economy rebounds.

Disclosure: I do own shares of Bank of America.

Photo by: taberandrew

Is Now The Time To Invest In Apple?

July 15, 2010 By: Mark Category: Investing

Everyone in the world knows about Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL). If it’s in the technology arena, Apple does it. Apple makes money selling computer hardware and software applications. Apple generates sales from everything including it popular lines of iPods, iMac’s, iPhones, and iPads. Apple even derives revenue from music, books, laptop accessories, laptop cases, laptop sleeves, headphones, speakers, cables, and docks.

Shares of Apple Inc. dropped to $250 today. Apple’s stock has been in a steady freefall over the past 3 weeks. Shares have fallen from the $270’s and the stock has trimmed over $15 billion dollars off of its market cap. Why the steep drop? Some spectators believe that the price drop is due to a glitch with the phone’s antennae. Apparently the phone has a tendency to drop calls if it is held at the wrong angle. Apple is holding a press conference tomorrow to address the “death grip” issues.

I think that the drop in Apple’s shares is not totally due to the glitch. Apple’s shares have followed a similar pattern after the introduction of the iPad, and previous generation iPhones. Investors bid the stock up ahead of the introduction of a new product and then dump the shares after the product launch. This strategy is creating a buying opportunity for smart investors.

While Apple may have to modify existing phones or give free bumper cases to iPhone users, the fundamental growth story at Apple still remains unchanged. Consumer demand is still extremely high for the iPhone 4G and the iPad. Apple is still on place to earn over $16 per share next year. Apple is currently trading at a significantly discounted multiple to the company’s historical P/E of 32.

If the rumors are true about Verizon getting the iPhone, that would open up a whole new market for Apple. Analysts estimate that Apple could easily sell an additional 12 to 15 million iPhones in the first year alone. The iPad is still in its infancy and has continued room for sales growth with Apple just launching the product this year. Imagine what sales will be like when the iPad becomes available on Verizon’s network.

Apple may be a $230 billion dollar company but the growth is alive and well. The P/E ratio at 15 is actually lower than the company’s projected growth rate of 16.5%. Apple deserves to trade at a premium valuation not a discounted one. Even if you attached the industry average P/E and multiply it by the average earnings estimate, Apple is worth at least $350 per share.

At $250 or below, Apple is definitely a buy.

Disclosure: I do not own shares of Apple.