Best Buy Is A Great Value Play

A few weeks ago I gave my list of the Best Sectors To Invest In For 2011. One of my picks was certain specialty retailers. There is one retailer that I think is finally a value play. It is trading at a single digit multiple.

The company whose stock that I like is Best Buy (BBY).

Best Buy Inc. is the largest specialty electronics retailer in the United States. Best Buy has a 19% share  of the $170 billion dollar United States consumer electronics market. Best Buy has 6% stake in the global consumer market. Best Buy has a market cap of $12.7 billion dollars and 180,000 employees.

Shares of Best Buy have plummeted recently as the stock has dropped from nearly $50 a share to the low 30’s. Investors have abandoned the stock as fears have grown about the retailers ability to expand outside of the United States. Best Buy is down nearly 15% this year. The company has seen margins being squeezed due to increased competition and the company’s expansion plans into foreign markets has not gone as smoothly as expected.

Gross margins are still high at 25% but operating margins have dropped down to the 4’s the last three years. Revenue growth has been solid at 12.6% over the past five years.  Best Buy’s online sales growth is dropping however. Best Buy reported online sales growth of just  7% last year. That’s down dramatically from the 16% number in Q2 and 26% in Q1.

Best Buy Is A Value Stock

Best Buy is cheap based on a number of valuation metrics. The stock trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.9. 0.7 times earnings growth and a 0.3 price to share ratio. The stock trades at 2.1 times the stock price and at 6.6 times cash flow. Best Buy is not yet a dividend play because the stock has a mediocre yield of 1.9%.

The company has one of the best balance sheets in the retail sector with nearly $1 billion dollars in cash and $1.8 billion dollars in debt. Return on equity is high at nearly 24% and return on assets is respectable at 7%.

Best Buy is currently undergoing a massive restructuring in its overseas operations. The company has closed stores in China and Turkey. Despite the setbacks, the company is not giving up on its overseas growth. Best Buy plans to open 50 Five Star stores in China over the next year and150 Best Buy Mobile stores in the U.S. Best Buy plans to open 18 stores in the United Kingdom, Mexico and Canada by 2010.

I think that the stock has been oversold. There isn’t much downside risk in the stock since it is trading at such a low multiple. Long term investors are getting a chance to buy a solid retailer at a reasonable price.

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6 Responses to “Best Buy Is A Great Value Play”

  1. I wish I had owned Best Buy when Circuit City filed for bankruptcy. It seems like the stock has always been a solid one, even in the past 3 or 4 years. Thanks for the read.

  2. I can see the Ipad 2 helping sales at best buy. I believe the original is sold there as well as the Iphone. Cell phones and computers are two big ticket items sold at best buy. When the Ipad 2 comes out, not only will this be a popular item at best buy but also the original will come down in price. Those looking to get one will be more likely to afford it. Best Buy is a simple and easy way to get one. Other hot items include game consoles, televisions and appliances. They seem to be very good at getting the next big thing into their store asap.

  3. avatar Jeff says:

    Good evaluation of the stock. Its definitely a value stock according to its relatively low PE ratio.

  4. avatar Pepijn says:

    there’s 2 questions to be asked:

    1. is it cheap?
    2. is it cheap for a reason?

    Unfortunately affirmative on both counts… Borders was also cheap shortly before it filed for bancrupcy. Retail is a very difficult sectors and typically things go well until they don’t and then it’s often too late with no way back. BBY is stuck to long term leases and faces with declining same store sales due to increased competition from both Amazon and WMT. BBY can’t compete on price with neither of them and is consequently… a sitting duck.

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