First Mariner Struggling To Survive

Last year I wrote in a previous post that that local bank First Mariner Bancorp(FMAR) was struggling for survival. First Mariner is the largest independent bank in Baltimore and operates 24 branches in the area. The bank has announced plans to close its downtown Baltimore branch after losing over $2 a share the previous quarter. First Mariner is also facing delisting from the NASDAQ exchange as the stock has failed to maintain a value of at least $1 over the past month. First Mariner has recently sold off one of its most valuable assets in Mariner Finance. Now comes news that the Federal Reserve has determined that the bank is undercapitalized and needs to raise an additional 20 million in capital. 

Raising 20 million in fresh capital is no small task for a bank with a total market cap of 6 million dollars. Even if First Mariner is able to raise 20 million; the bank still faces questions about its sustained viability. I believe that First Mariner has only two options going forward. The first option is to merge with a larger more financially sound institution. First Mariner would lose its independence but retain its brand name and branches. The second option is the option of last resorts and that is for the bank to go into receivership. This would involve the dissolution of the bank and the liquidation of all assets.

I believe that First Mariner’s situation is a microcosm of the troubles in the banking industry as a whole. Small and medium sized banks are facing the same issues that megabanks were just a year ago. The difference is that smaller banks are not being “bailed out” by the government like Wells Fargo, M&T, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Citigroup and PNC. These mega banks are now gaining deposits at the expense of small community banks. Long term this will become troublesome for borrowers because we will have limited choices when seeking loans for homes, automobiles, education and etc.

10 out of 19: Not Bad

According to the government’s stress tests, 10 out of 19 of the largest US banks need additional capital in case of further deterioration of the US economy. These stress tests estimate that the banking system will face 600 billion in losses over the next few years. The 10 banks are Bank of America, Citigroup, Morgan Stanley, GMAC, Wells Fargo, Regions Financial, PNC, Suntrust, Key Corp and Fifth Third Bank. These 10 banks have until November to raise a total of 74 billion dollars. The bank that needs the largest infusion of capital is Bank of America (BAC). Bank of America needs 34 billion in additional funds which is substantial for a company with a market cap of just north of 100 billion. Wells Fargo (WFC) and GMAC are 2nd and 3rd on the list needing about 14 billion and 11.5 billion respectively.

The good news is for mega banks such as JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Goldman Sachs (GS)and US Bancorp (USB). These banks will have an increased ability to attract private equity capital due to their stress test results. Stronger banks will also be able to buy assets at distressed prices from institutions seeking to raise capital. These banks may also look to mergers to acquire weaker institutions and increase their deposit base.

Banks will either have to raise capital through: (1) offering additional common stock, (2) selling or divesting assets, (3) converting preferred shares to common shares. Banks can also hope that they generate earnings that are significantly above earnings estimates.

4 Safest Banks in the US

Global Finance highlighted the 50 safest banks in the world and 4 of the top 50 are in the US.

Wells Fargo (WFC) is rated as the safest bank in the US at Number 21.

US Bancorp (USB) is the 2nd safest US bank coming in at Number 26.

Bank of New York Mellon (BK) rates third in the US banking system at Number 35.

JPMorgan Chase (JPM) just made the cut at number 47 in the world.

Noticeably absent from the list are Bank of America (BAC) and Citigroup (C).