Manitowoc Earnings

Manitowoc announced earnings last night of 51 cents per share. The company missed analyst earnings expectations of 57 cents per share. The good news is that Manitowoc had a 16% jump in sales and expects increased revenue from the purchase of food equipment maker Enodis. The bad news is that the 4th quarter resulted in a net loss based on the financing of the Enodis purchase and restructuring charges from the crane making division.

Manitowoc reaffirmed 2009 earnings guidance of $1.35 to $1.60 per share. The stock is currently trading at $6 per share which puts a 4.4 multiple on the stock if the company comes in on the lowest end of guidance. I think that the stock is cheap because the multiple is much lower than other industrial firms. Caterpillar(CAT) expects earnings of $2.50 per share and the stock is trading over $30. Deere(DE) currently trades at $36 on estimated EPS of $4.37 per share. Joy Global(JOYG) is selling for $22 a share with an expected EPS of $3.72.  These stocks are trading with multiples of 12, 8, 6.

As you can see Manitowoc trades at a multiple that is much cheaper than other machinery companies. The one company that trades closer to the levels of Manitowoc is Terex(TEX) which is trading at $14 per share on 2009 EPS of $4.00. Caterpillar and Deere look as if they have significant room to decline based on lower earnings. I think that Manitowoc is a good value at $6. The average PE for machinery companies is 6.  Manitowoc would need 2009 earnings to drop an additional 25% and EPS to reach $1.02 a share for the stock to be fairly valued at $6 per share. The next year or two may be pretty rocky for Manitowoc but long term I like the shares.

Investment Moves

Bought 200 more shares of Manitowoc at $6.85 per share. Total position is now over 800 shares.

Sold off Proshares UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) ETF at $80.50 and bought shares of Proshares Ultra S&P500(SSO) at $22.90.

Sold off US Bancorp at $21.60. I lost about 3% on that trade. I planned on holding it longer but I think all of the major banks will get hit by the poor financial condition of Citigroup and Bank of America.

Apple dropped over 10% today on news that Steve Jobs is taking a leave of absence until June due to health problems. I picked up some Apple shares at just below $80 in the after hours market.

Stock Buy

Added 260 additional shares of Manitowoc(MTW) at $7.25.

Added Manitowoc Shares

Bought an additional 50 shares of Manitowoc(MTW) at $8.36. I only added a small amount because I may get an opportunity to buy cheaper in the 7 dollar range.

Manitowoc

I forgot to post this on Friday. Bought 200 shares of Manitowoc (MTW) in after hours trading on Friday at $9.44 per share. Manitowoc’s primary business is manufacturing and selling cranes. The company’s shares have been punished by the economic recession. Manitowoc has $382 million in cash and only 247 million in debt. Manitowoc has almost $3 per share in cash on the balance sheet and is selling at a discount to book value. It may take some time but shares should rebound with increased spending on infrastructure.

Stock Watchlist

I am keeping an eye on the following stocks:

Harvest Natural Resources(HNR) closed at $3.88 per share. This is a classic Graham play. This natural resources company is currently trading below its net current asset value and the cash on its balance sheet.

Manitowoc(MTW) is down over 80% this year and is trading at $8.29 per share.  The company has a strong enough financial position to survive this economic downturn.

Electronic Arts(ERTS) has sank to $15.01 per share. Electronic Arts is currently undergoing a massive restructuring as the company seeks to increase market share in the competitive video game industry. Might be a good takeover target with over 2 billion in cash and no debt.

Cheesecake Factory(CAKE) trades at $9.36 per share. The casual dining sector has been crushed and Cheesecake Factory is no exception.

Whole Foods Market(WFMI) closed at $8.99 per share. This is a very risky play because of the grocer’s huge debt load and problems with the Wild Oats merger. If the stock drops anymore it may be worth a shot.