Troubles Growing For Newspaper Industry

 

Major newspapers throughout the country are bleeding. They are facing reductions in size and many are struggling to even remain relevant in this age of access to instant information. The most recent example of the problems facing newspapers are the layoffs at my hometown newspaper, the Baltimore Sun. The Baltimore Sun is a Tribune owned company and is the largest newspaper in the state of Maryland. The Sun recently laid off about 30% of its staff and more layoffs are expected. The Sun has employed several cost cutting measures to stay afloat such as downsizing staff and decreasing the size of the print editions. None of these moves have worked. Even major newspapers like the Washington Post are losing money for the first time in the paper’s history.

Newspapers such as the Washington Post and New York Times will always exist in some form or another. Cable television, blogs and online sites rely on the daily content that newspapers produce. But smaller papers such as the Baltimore Sun are facing the very real possibility of extinction. Newspapers continue to face declines in ad revenues as their subscription base erodes. Google is the king for advertisers seeking to reach customers through content. Websites like Craigslist have practically destroyed the classified section in newspapers. Careerbuilder and Monster.com have changed people’s reliance upon newspapers for employment information. Warren Buffett has stated that the business model for newspapers in not sustainable and will only continue to erode. I have to agree with his assessment and believe that over the next few years things will only continue to get worse.

Photo by laffy4k

Dead Company Walking

10 companies on their last legs

1. Blockbuster Video – Netflix and Redbox have taken market share away from this one time king. Downloadable movies will only decrease traffic in its stores.

2. Rite Aid – Still trying to return to profitability in an industry that includes heavyweights Walmart, Walgreens and CVS.

3. Borders Group - Online retailer Amazon and Barnes & Noble own the book sales industry.

4. Heely’s – Their shoes appear to be a fad item whose bubble is bursting.

5. Crocs – See Heely’s

6. Ace Hardware – Home Depot & Lowe’s have significant pricing power over Ace.

7. Build-A-Bear – Seems like the ultimate fad item.

8. Yahoo – It’s never good when an industry that you used to dominate is now known by your biggest competitor’s name.

9. Toys R Us – Business model eerily similar to KB Toys.

10. Gannett Co. - It’s not an advantage to be largest publisher in the newspaper industry when subscriptions and revenue are dropping.

Newspapers Going..Going..Gone

The US newspaper industry is facing tough times. The Tribune Company, the nation’s second largest newspaper publisher, filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection. The company has been saddled with debt and declining sales since billionaire Sam Zell took the company private last year. I paid particular attention to this bankruptcy announcement because they own my hometown newspaper, The Baltimore Sun. Tribune Company also owns some of the largest newspapers nationwide including Newsday, L.A. Times, and the Chicago Tribune.

Tribune is not the only struggling newspaper publisher. Gannett, EW Scripps and the New York Times all face similar problems. The newspaper industry as a whole is in trouble. Newspapers are becoming increasingly irrelevant. Newspapers throughout the country have experienced declining revenue from subscriptions losses and lower ad revenue. Ad revenue declined 18.3%, 11.1%, 17% over the past quarter at the New York Times, Gannett and EW Scripps respectively.

Subscribers have abandoned newspapers for online content. Following this trend advertisers have moved ad dollars from print media to online media. The newspaper industry is at a crossroads. In the age of 24 hour news, newspapers seem out of date. By the time you read the newspaper you have probably already seen the news. National news has been replaced by CNN, Fox, MSNBC or your local news station.

Newspapers have become a niche item. People are no longer concerned with having a physical product to hold in their hands. Newspapers only sell well during major historical events. Special events such as this past presidential election demonstrate that people do still want a tangible product but only when a significant event occurs. Newspapers sold out of issues the day after the election.

I think the only hope for the newspapers publishers is to reinvent themselves. They should move their focus from print to online. Publishers should allocate more capital to their online websites. They need to get their online sites on par with the larger media conglomerates. They need to utilize their advantage over major news outlets which is in having the scoop on all local news. They need to focus on becoming a 24 hour news site on all things locally. They could use the print editions for special issues and weekend editions only.

Until newspaper companies can find a way to reinvent their business models, I wouldn’t buy these stocks even at these prices.