Financials Slaughtered

Wow! This market is taking a beating. I was looking through companies at their 52 week lows and the list goes on an on. Many of these stocks are trading at prices that would have appeared unfathomable before last year. Some of these companies deserve their low share prices and others have been down unfairly. In this market it is difficult to tell the difference. Here are a few companies trading at or near their 52 week lows:

SunTrust Bank (STI) set a new 52 week low dropping to $7 per share today. There are fears that SunTrust will not pass the government’s stress test and will not qualify for future assistance.

Wells Fargo (WFC) dropped to $13.69 which is its lowest price in 12 years. I am still buying Wells shares because I think that the bank will be saved. It’s hard to have any conviction about any bank stock at these levels.

Capital One (COF) dropped below $10 and American Express (AXP) dropped to $13 amid concerns over rising credit card delinquencies. The pain is just beginning in the credit card industry. This makes me wonder about the credit card portfolios at Citigroup and Bank of America. They have already gotten TARP funds twice; any additional TARP funds may mean that nationalization is coming.

Dow Chemical (DOW) is down to $8.62 per share and now sports a market cap that is almost half of the proposed 15.3 billion dollar purchase price for Rohm & Haas.

United States Oil ETF (USO) is down to $23.45. Oil demand has fallen off a cliff. I don’t know how long this will last but it looks cheap at these levels.

General Electric (GE) is trading at $10.81. It could hit the single digits if the market keeps declining. The stock is yielding 10.80% and looks cheap if held for years.

US Bancorp (USB) hit $10.73 today.

Purchases

Bought 100 more shares of Manitowoc at 6.98 per share.

Bought 100 shares of UCO at $11.02 per share.

Bought 50 more shares of US Oil ETF(USO) at $29.90.

Bought 300 shares of Financial Select Spyder ETF(XLF) at $9.65.

Oil Stock Buy

Bought United States Oil ETF(USO) at $35 level today. Crude Oil declined to $42 so I started a position. Oil could still drop further but I am comfortable buying at this level.

Bought Crude Oil ETF(UCO) at $16 today.

Added shares to UltraShort Real Estate ETF(SRS) at $65 and $68.

Added shares to UltraShort S&P500 (SDS) at $80.

Time to Buy Oil

 

Crude oil is down over $100 per barrel from its highs of this past summer. Oil traded at around $150 per barrel and gas prices rose to over $4 a gallon. Oil currently trades at around $47 a barrel and gas prices are well under $2 dollars a gallon. The precipitous decline in the price of oil can be attributed to the decline in oil speculators and falling worldwide demand due to the slowing economy.

As oil prices continue to drop this may represent an attractive buying opportunity in energy related equities. Oil should bottom at around $40 a barrel. The fundamentals are in place however for oil to rise over the long term. The current cheap oil environment hurts the development of alternative energy projects. The oil market should rebound at the start of an economic recovery or any significant production cuts from OPEC. Demand for crude oil will return with economic stability and increasing the money supply should produce an inflationary environment that leads to a rise in commodity prices.

One of the easiest ways to play an expected rise in oil is to buy the United States Oil ETF(USO). USO is an exchange traded fund that directly tracks the price of crude oil. The USO is currently trading at a price of $38.50 which is very close to its all time low.

Another option is the iPath S&P Crude Oil Total Return Index(OIL) which tracks crude oil futures contracts. OIL is currently trading near its all time low at $27.52.

You could always purchase one of the major integrated oil companies like Exxon or Conoco Phillips. Exxon currently trades at $77 a share and Conoco Phillips trades around $50. These stocks still have room to drop further. Exxon looks like a buy closer to $60 and Concoco in the $40′s.

Lately television pundits and analysts have stated that oil may go as low as $25 per barrel. No one knows the exact bottom for the oil market. But if oil does hit $25 a barrel; oil should rebound off that level rather quickly. Many of the same people touting oil at $25 were saying that oil at $200 a barrel was just around the corner.