I have been a fan of Waste Management (WM) for awhile and recommended buying shares in my post last June when the stock traded at $28. Waste Management now sells at $33 per share and continues to steadily grow earnings. I would like to take a look at another waste management company, Republic Services. It was just disclosed today that Warren Buffett’s company Berkshire Hathaway had been buying shares of Republic Services in Q4 of 2009.
Republic Services, Inc (RSG) is the 2nd largest provider of waste management services throughout the US. Since the merger with Allied Waste in 2008, Republic Services has seen its earnings power increase dramatically. Republic’s sales have grown from 3.68 billion to almost 8.2 billion last year. Gross profit increased from 1.2 billion to over 3.3 billion in 2009. Shares currently trade at $27.42 per share. EPS is expected to be $1.67 per share which means shares are trading at 16 times 2010 earnings. 2011 EPS is expected to grow 20% to $2 per share placing a 14 PE on the stock. The growth rate for the next 5 years is expected to be 16.15%. Republic’s free cash flow increased to 109.3 million last quarter.
I do find Republic’s low current ratio and high amount of long term debt troublesome. Republic Services added 6.7 billion in debt to their balance sheet when they acquired Allied Waste. There are positive signs however that Republic is working to reduce its high level of debt. Republic has retired 750 million in long term debt over the past year.
So how does Republic Services stack up against Waste Management? Waste Management currently trades at a multiple of 15.5 based on 2010 earnings and a 14 multiple for 2011. Future growth rates are estimated at 8.7% for the next 5 years. Waste Management trades at 2.6 times book value compared to Republic’s book value of 1.4. ROA is 4% for both companies. Waste Management’s ROE of 15 is much higher than Republic Services ROE of 6. Both companies are highly leveraged and as you can see have similar PE ratios. Republic has twice the growth rate of Waste Management and has a cheaper price to earnings growth(PEG). Waste Management has the higher dividend yield at 3.6% and has consistently increased their dividend over the years.
I think that Buffett was attracted to Republic Services for the following reasons:
- High Barriers To Entry in Waste Management Industry.
- Rising Free Cash Flow.
- Favorable Long Term Earnings Growth Rates.
- Easy to Understand Business.
- Consistent Operating Performance.
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5 Comments to “Reaping Big Rewards From Trash”
Mark,
Is it possible that Buffet’s interest in Republic is partly because Bill Gates, through his foundation and through Cascade investments owns about 60 million shares. This is a good thing.Most of Gates’ shares were bought below 20.
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Tho it’s stake is RSG is much larger, the Gates Foundation has also owns shares in WM.As a WM shareholder, I’m hoping Gates will convince Buffett to buy WM in addition to RSG so that WM will get a “Buffett bump” when the news comes out.
@Jim Merchant
Jim,
I think that Gates purchase may have led Buffett to look at the company but for Buffett to buy the stock means he must see some value in it. Buffett never bought Microsoft’s stock even though him and Gates are close friends.
To be honest, I’m not so keen on WM right now.I think they are an excellent company, and I absolutely love their business model, but I’m not sure how great of an investment it would make.
Their revenue, earnings, and cash flow have all been flat for four years now and their balance sheet is less than spectacular.
It’s not that I think it’s a bad investment- investors will definitely do ok with it, but I think there are much better investments out there.Unless of course I’m missing something, because many investors seem highly favored towards it.
I’m rather surprised that Buffet didn’t put more money into Becton Dickinson.He added to his position which I expected him to do, but he loaded up on some companies in this past quarter that don’t seem so on top of things.