The Moat Index

BRINK’S CO

BCO · Industrials · $4.9B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

52/ 100
Shallow moat

The four filters

Pricing power39

Median gross margin 23.0% over 10y, very stable.

Returns on capital56

Median ROIC 10.6%, above the 9% hurdle in 90% of years.

Balance-sheet safety17

Net debt/EBITDA 2.8x, interest coverage 2x.

Capital discipline100

Owner earnings +20.4%/yr, share count shrinking (buybacks).

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale
17% above value
Owner earnings (normalized)
$233.7M
Est. intrinsic value / share
$102.35
Recent price
$120.12
Discount to value
17% above value

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 4% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

19 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

BRINK’S CO booked $5.3B of revenue in FY2025 in the Industrials sector and kept 25.8% of it as gross profit — a moderate-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 3.8% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $3.2B (FY2008) to $5.3B (FY2025) — about 3.0% a year compounded over 17 years.

It earned 13.8% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 12.6% across 18 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 56/100.

The balance sheet carried $4.2B of total debt in FY2025 against $287.4M of owner earnings — roughly 14.7 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 17/100.

The share count fell 14.2% between FY2009 and FY2025 — management has been retiring shares, which concentrates each remaining owner's claim. Capital Discipline scores it 100/100.

Put together: Capital Discipline is the strongest of the four filters (100/100) and Balance-Sheet Safety the weakest (17/100), which is how BCO lands at 52/100 — a Shallow moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2007–FY2025 · 19 fiscal years, normalized from BCO’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$5.3B FY2025
$0$2B$4B2007201320192025
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods25.8% FY2025
0%10%20%2007201320192025
Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed13.8% FY2025
0%200%2007201320192025
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$287.4M FY2025
$0$200M2007201320192025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in BCO’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

3 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale51.7 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026

Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.

Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

None yet — BCO has read Shallow moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Industrials context

#101 of 309 scored Industrials companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #99JBI JANUS INTERNATIONAL GROUP, INC.52.1 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  2. #100GLGI GREYSTONE LOGISTICS, INC.51.8 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  3. #102ZWS ZURN ELKAY WATER SOLUTIONS CORPORATION51.7 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  4. #103ACU ACME UNITED CORP51.2 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat

Compare BCO with its nearest peersAll Industrials companies on the Index →

Common questions about BCO

Does BRINK’S CO have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores BRINK’S CO (BCO) 51.7 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 39, returns on capital 56, balance-sheet safety 17, capital discipline 100.
Is BCO stock trading below its intrinsic value?
Against a deliberately conservative owner-earnings model (9% discount rate, 4% assumed growth, capped at 4%), estimated intrinsic value is $102.35 per share versus a recent price of $120.12 — 17% above value. This is an educational estimate computed from primary SEC filings, not investment advice.
How has BCO's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 51.7 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.
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BRINK’S CO (BCO) Moat Score — The Moat Index · Buy Like Buffett