The Moat Index

CARVANA CO.

CVNA · Consumer Discretionary · $15.1B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · No moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

27/ 100
No moat

The four filters

Pricing power0

Median gross margin 13.5% over 10y, variable.

Returns on capital35

Median ROIC 9.1%, above the 9% hurdle in 50% of years.

Balance-sheet safety39

Net debt/EBITDA 1.4x, interest coverage 4x.

Capital discipline44

Owner earnings trend unclear, share count n/a.

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale
1043% above value
Owner earnings (normalized)
$119.0M
Est. intrinsic value / share
$5.90
Recent price
$67.36
Discount to value
1043% above value

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

12 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

CARVANA CO. booked $20.3B of revenue in FY2025 in the Consumer Discretionary sector and kept 20.6% of it as gross profit — a moderate-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 6.9% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $130.4M (FY2015) to $20.3B (FY2025) — about 65.7% a year compounded over 10 years.

It earned 24.1% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 9.1% across 4 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 35/100.

The balance sheet carried $5.0B of total debt in FY2025 against $1.3B of owner earnings — roughly 4.0 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 39/100.

The share count rose 378.7% between FY2019 and FY2025 — existing owners have been diluted over the record. Capital Discipline scores it 44/100.

Put together: Capital Discipline is the strongest of the four filters (44/100) and Pricing Power the weakest (0/100), which is how CVNA lands at 27/100 — a None moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2014–FY2025 · 12 fiscal years, normalized from CVNA’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$20.3B FY2025
$0$10B$20B2014201820222025
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods20.6% FY2025
0%10%20%2014201820222025
Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed24.1% FY2025
−20%0%20%2014201820222025
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$1.3B FY2025
−$2B$02014201820222025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in CVNA’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

3 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale27.2 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026

Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.

Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

None yet — CVNA has read No moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Consumer Discretionary context

#278 of 340 scored Consumer Discretionary companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #276PRTS CARPARTS.COM, INC.28.1 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  2. #277BBBY BED BATH & BEYOND, INC.28.0 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  3. #279WOOF Petco Health and Wellness Company, Inc.26.5 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  4. #280SRI STONERIDGE, INC.26.1 out of 100, No moatNo moat

Compare CVNA with its nearest peersAll Consumer Discretionary companies on the Index →

Common questions about CVNA

Does CARVANA CO. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores CARVANA CO. (CVNA) 27.2 out of 100 — below the Shallow-moat bar, so no moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 0, returns on capital 35, balance-sheet safety 39, capital discipline 44.
Is CVNA stock trading below its intrinsic value?
Against a deliberately conservative owner-earnings model (9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth, capped at 4%), estimated intrinsic value is $5.90 per share versus a recent price of $67.36 — 1043% above value. This is an educational estimate computed from primary SEC filings, not investment advice.
How has CVNA's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 27.2 out of 100 (no moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.
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CARVANA CO. (CVNA) Moat Score — The Moat Index · Buy Like Buffett