Kraft Heinz Co
KHC · Consumer Staples · $30.6B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · No moat ·
Doesn't clear the bar
The four filters
Median gross margin 33.7% over 10y, very stable.
Median ROIC 3.1%, above the 9% hurdle in 0% of years.
Net debt/EBITDA n/ax, interest coverage -5x.
Owner earnings trend unclear, share count shrinking (buybacks).
Margin of safety
- Owner earnings (normalized)
- $2.4B
- Est. intrinsic value / share
- $22.33
- Recent price
- $25.88
- Discount to value
- 16% above value
Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).
13 years of fundamentals
The business, in plain English
Kraft Heinz Co booked $24.9B of revenue in FY2025 in the Consumer Staples sector and kept 33.3% of it as gross profit — a moderate-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, −23.4% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.
Across the filed record, revenue grew from $10.9B (FY2014) to $24.9B (FY2025) — about 7.8% a year compounded over 11 years.
It earned −6.1% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 3.1% across 12 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 0/100.
The balance sheet carried $21.2B of total debt in FY2025. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 28/100.
The share count rose 214.2% between FY2013 and FY2025 — existing owners have been diluted over the record. Capital Discipline scores it 49/100.
Put together: Pricing Power is the strongest of the four filters (58/100) and Returns on Capital the weakest (0/100), which is how KHC lands at 33/100 — a None moat.
This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.
Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in KHC’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.
Moat Score history
Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can't be backfilled, which is exactly why it's worth keeping.