The Moat Index

KROGER CO

KR · Consumer Discretionary · FY2026 filings · Shallow moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

51/ 100
Shallow moat

The four filters

Pricing power42

Median gross margin 22.4% over 2y, very stable.

Returns on capital58

Median ROIC 11.8%, above the 9% hurdle in 80% of years.

Balance-sheet safety67

Net debt/EBITDA 2.4x, no material interest expense disclosed.

Capital discipline40

Owner earnings -7.1%/yr, share count shrinking (buybacks).

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale
No price data
Owner earnings (normalized)
$2.2B
Est. intrinsic value / share
Recent price
$58.82
Discount to value
No price data

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

20 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $70.3B (FY2008) to $147.6B (FY2026) — about 4.2% a year compounded over 18 years.

It earned 8.7% on invested capital in FY2026, with a median of 12.0% across 19 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 58/100.

The balance sheet carried $15.9B of total debt in FY2026 against $1.0B of owner earnings — roughly 15.6 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 67/100.

The share count fell 5.2% between FY2009 and FY2025 — management has been retiring shares, which concentrates each remaining owner's claim. Capital Discipline scores it 40/100.

Put together: Balance-Sheet Safety is the strongest of the four filters (67/100) and Capital Discipline the weakest (40/100), which is how KR lands at 51/100 — a Shallow moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2007–FY2026 · 20 fiscal years, normalized from KR’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$147.6B FY2026
$0$100B2007201420212026
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods22.4% FY2018
0%10%20%2007201420212026
Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed8.7% FY2026
0%20%2007201420212026
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$1.0B FY2026
$0$2B2007201420212026

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in KR’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

Moat Score over time · 3 readings since 2026-07-17

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can't be backfilled, which is exactly why it's worth keeping.

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KROGER CO (KR) Moat Score — The Moat Index · Buy Like Buffett