The Moat Index

ManpowerGroup Inc.

MAN · Technology · $2.4B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

46/ 100
Shallow moat

The four filters

Pricing power31

Median gross margin 16.6% over 10y, very stable.

Returns on capital60

Median ROIC 14.0%, above the 9% hurdle in 60% of years.

Balance-sheet safety53

Net debt/EBITDA 3.4x, no material interest expense disclosed.

Capital discipline40

Owner earnings -31.6%/yr, share count shrinking (buybacks).

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale
21% above value
Owner earnings (normalized)
$180.6M
Est. intrinsic value / share
$43.23
Recent price
$52.34
Discount to value
21% above value

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

19 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

ManpowerGroup Inc. booked $18.0B of revenue in FY2025 in the Technology sector and kept 16.7% of it as gross profit — a thin-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, −0.1% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue shrank from $19.7B (FY2016) to $18.0B (FY2025) — about −1.0% a year compounded over 9 years.

It earned 3.4% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 13.5% across 18 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 60/100.

The balance sheet carried $1.7B of total debt in FY2025 against $15.4M of owner earnings — roughly 108.9 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 53/100.

The share count fell 43.3% between FY2010 and FY2025 — management has been retiring shares, which concentrates each remaining owner's claim. Capital Discipline scores it 40/100.

Put together: Returns on Capital is the strongest of the four filters (60/100) and Pricing Power the weakest (31/100), which is how MAN lands at 46/100 — a Shallow moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2007–FY2025 · 19 fiscal years, normalized from MAN’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$18.0B FY2025
$0$10B$20B2007201320192025
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods16.7% FY2025
0%10%2007201320192025
Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed3.4% FY2025
0%10%20%2007201320192025
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$15.4M FY2025
$0$500M2007201320192025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in MAN’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

3 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale46.0 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026

Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.

Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

None yet — MAN has read Shallow moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Technology context

#225 of 532 scored Technology companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #223EXTR EXTREME NETWORKS, INC.46.3 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  2. #224BLIN Bridgeline Digital, Inc.46.1 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  3. #226ENPH Enphase Energy, Inc.46.0 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  4. #227CIEN Ciena Corp45.9 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat

Compare MAN with its nearest peersAll Technology companies on the Index →

Common questions about MAN

Does ManpowerGroup Inc. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) 46.0 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 31, returns on capital 60, balance-sheet safety 53, capital discipline 40.
Is MAN stock trading below its intrinsic value?
Against a deliberately conservative owner-earnings model (9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth, capped at 4%), estimated intrinsic value is $43.23 per share versus a recent price of $52.34 — 21% above value. This is an educational estimate computed from primary SEC filings, not investment advice.
How has MAN's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 46.0 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.
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ManpowerGroup Inc. (MAN) Moat Score — The Moat Index · Buy Like Buffett