US FOODS HOLDING CORP.
USFD · Industrials · $21.4B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · No moat ·
Doesn't clear the bar
The four filters
Median gross margin 17.3% over 10y, very stable.
Median ROIC 7.5%, above the 9% hurdle in 20% of years.
Net debt/EBITDA 3.1x, interest coverage 4x.
Owner earnings +5.1%/yr, share count flat.
Margin of safety
- Owner earnings (normalized)
- $591.0M
- Est. intrinsic value / share
- $48.24
- Recent price
- $97.27
- Discount to value
- 102% above value
Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 4% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).
13 years of fundamentals
The business, in plain English
US FOODS HOLDING CORP. booked $39.4B of revenue in FY2025 in the Industrials sector and kept 17.4% of it as gross profit — a thin-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 1.7% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.
Across the filed record, revenue grew from $23.0B (FY2014) to $39.4B (FY2025) — about 5.0% a year compounded over 11 years.
It earned 9.5% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 7.5% across 12 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 18/100.
The balance sheet carried $5.2B of total debt in FY2025 against $728.0M of owner earnings — roughly 7.1 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 17/100.
The share count rose 32.3% between FY2015 and FY2025 — existing owners have been diluted over the record. Capital Discipline scores it 56/100.
Put together: Capital Discipline is the strongest of the four filters (56/100) and Balance-Sheet Safety the weakest (17/100), which is how USFD lands at 30/100 — a None moat.
This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.
Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in USFD’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.
Moat Score history
Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.
Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars
None yet — USFD has read No moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.
Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.
Industrials context
#204 of 309 scored Industrials companies, ranked by Moat Score.
Nearest peers by Moat Score
- #202ASLE AerSale Corporation29.7 out of 100, No moatNo moat
- #203MTW MANITOWOC CO INC29.6 out of 100, No moatNo moat
- #205CHEF CHEFS’ WAREHOUSE, INC.29.5 out of 100, No moatNo moat
- #206SUNE SUNATION ENERGY, INC.29.3 out of 100, No moatNo moat
Compare USFD with its nearest peers →All Industrials companies on the Index →
Common questions about USFD
- Does US FOODS HOLDING CORP. have an economic moat?
- Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores US FOODS HOLDING CORP. (USFD) 29.6 out of 100 — below the Shallow-moat bar, so no moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 32, returns on capital 18, balance-sheet safety 17, capital discipline 56.
- Is USFD stock trading below its intrinsic value?
- Against a deliberately conservative owner-earnings model (9% discount rate, 4% assumed growth, capped at 4%), estimated intrinsic value is $48.24 per share versus a recent price of $97.27 — 102% above value. This is an educational estimate computed from primary SEC filings, not investment advice.
- How has USFD's Moat Score changed over time?
- The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 29.6 out of 100 (no moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.