AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING, INC.

ADP · Technology · $111.2B mkt cap · FY2026 filings · · Wide moat ·

On the watchlist

Wide moat
Share / Embed this score
Embed this score

The five investor questions

95

2022–2026 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $16.5B to $21.9B, increasing; diluted EPS 7.00 to 10.94, increasing.

72

Median gross margin 42.9% over 10y, very stable.

Not enough years of ROIC data to score returns on capital.

82

Net debt/EBITDA 0.1x, interest coverage 13x.

95

Owner earnings changed +10.6%/yr over up to the ten most recent annual observations.

The returnsOnCapital component abstained: Not enough years of ROIC data to score returns on capital. The other four 20% weights were renormalized over the scored 80%.

Price vs. value if growth stopped today

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above value if growth stopped todayBelow value if growth stopped today
167% above value if growth stopped today
$3.8B
$104.80
$169.77
$279.61
167% above value if growth stopped today

What today’s price assumes: owner earnings growing ~22%/yr over 5 years. The zero-growth estimate assumes owner earnings stay flat (0% growth).

How to read this

We solve for the constant annual change in owner earnings that would make the five-year zero-growth estimate equal today’s price. This keeps the existing model inputs and calculation unchanged; it is an expectations lens, not a forecast.

This zero-growth estimate assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. The recent FY revenue series does not trigger the three-consecutive-declines flag.

Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 238% above the zero-growth estimate across 49 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Sep 4, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, META, MEDP, IBEX, MSFT, GOOG, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, VEEV, RMD, GRMN, PCTY, EAT, UI, SSD, MNST, DOCS, LRCX, MCO, CPRT, NTAP, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, ROL, CTAS, PAYC, IRMD, INTU, DECK, MORN, JKHY, TPR, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, LOPE

Missing a usable price or zero-growth estimate: ANF.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth multiple 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 4% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

20 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING, INC. booked $21.9B of revenue in FY2026 in the Technology sector and kept 46.4% of it as gross profit — a solid-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 20.1% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $8.7B (FY2008) to $21.9B (FY2026) — about 5.3% a year compounded over 18 years.

The balance sheet carried $5.0B of total debt in FY2026 against $4.4B of owner earnings — roughly 1.1 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 82/100.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2007–FY2026 · 20 fiscal years, normalized from ADP’s SEC filings

Sales, as filed$21.9B FY2026
$0$10B$20B2007201420212026
Revenue kept after cost of goods46.4% FY2026
0%20%40%2007201420212026
Standard ROIC or separately labeled Operating ROIC

Exact FY and FY-1 financing invested-capital inputs are required.. Current-year EBIT, tax expense, and non-zero pretax income are required for standard ROIC.

Exact FY and FY-1 financing invested-capital inputs are required.. Current-year EBIT, tax expense, and non-zero pretax income are required for standard ROIC.

Cash an owner could take out$4.4B FY2026
$0$2B$4B2007201420212026

The explained ROIC gaps have filed inputs but no meaningful positive invested-capital denominator. Other gaps mean the item is not in the filings for that year. The series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

The weakest filter speaks first

An editorial reading of AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING, INC.’s filed financial history. Scores, sub-scores, rank and valuation figures are read from this page’s own score card as you loaded it rather than written into the text, so they move when the filings do. Figures quoted from company releases and filings carry the document and its date in the sentence that uses them.

Pricing power scores 72. That's ADP's lowest filter. The registry grounds the number in Median gross margin 42.9% over 10y, very stable. — stable, which is both the compliment and the ceiling. Stable at a mid-forties gross margin isn't stable at sixty.

The reason a stable margin doesn't score higher is competition ADP itself discloses without naming names. The company's fiscal 2025 Form 10-K describes the industries in which it operates as "highly competitive" (ADP Form 10-K for the year ended June 30, 2025, sec.gov, accessed August 15, 2026), with competitors spanning business outsourcing companies, enterprise-resource-planning providers, software companies, and financial institutions per the competition disclosures in its filings. None of that appears on this page — the score is computed from filings alone — but it's the market structure that keeps a mid-forties gross margin from becoming a sixty. ADP can raise prices. It can't raise them carelessly.

Balance-sheet safety scores 82, the next rung up. The registry's reading is: Net debt/EBITDA 0.1x, interest coverage 13x. The asset base looks alarming against the equity line until you ask what fills it: ADP holds client money in transit, collected from employers before it goes out as wages and payroll taxes, and that float carries a rate dial. Per ADP's fourth-quarter and fiscal 2026 results release of July 29, 2026, interest on funds held for clients rose 15% to $355 million for the quarter, with average client funds balances up 8% to $41 billion and the average yield up 20 basis points to 3.5%. Rates cut either way. That 15% growth arrived because yields rose; an easing cycle runs the same arithmetic in reverse, and nothing in the balance-sheet sub-score prices that swing. It measures the debt. It doesn't measure the dial.

Above that sits a blank. Returns on capital didn't score at all: the registry abstained, reporting not enough years of data — Not enough years of ROIC data to score returns on capital. The metric isn't disclosed in ADP's filings for these years, and this site's stated policy is that it doesn't estimate what isn't filed. The remaining weights were renormalized over the filters that did score. The model doesn't guess. The honest translation is that one fifth of the framework has no opinion on ADP, and the headline rests on the other four fifths.

Revenue and EPS trend scores 95: 2022–2026 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue 16498300000.00 to 21947400000.00, increasing; diluted EPS 7.00 to 10.94, increasing. The current year keeps the line going: the July 29, 2026 release reported fourth-quarter revenue of $5.47 billion, up 7%, adjusted EPS of $2.64, and Employer Services client revenue retention flat at 92.1% for fiscal 2026. That retention figure is the trend score's real foundation — at 92.1%, per the release, more than nine of every ten dollars of Employer Services revenue stayed with ADP through the fiscal year.

Capital allocation scores 95, the top filter: Owner earnings +10.6%/yr, share count shrinking (buybacks). The distribution side has a longer record than the registry tracks: on November 12, 2025 ADP announced its 51st consecutive annual dividend increase — a streak that began in 1975 — lifting the annual rate to $6.80 per share. Fifty-one Novembers, one decision.

Stack the scored filters — pricing power 72, balance-sheet safety 82, revenue & eps trend 95, capital allocation 95 — and ADP lands at 86.0 out of 100, a wide moat. Then the same page turns around and prices it. The zero-growth estimate is $104.80 per share; the recent price is $279.61. The expectations lens on this page is blunter still: it solves for owner earnings growing about 22% a year for 5 years. The capital-allocation note above records what the business has actually delivered; the two numbers are printed here so a reader can set them side by side rather than take a comparison on trust. The moat is real. The price already knows.

Four documents stand behind every external number here: this registry page for ADP, read as you loaded it (scores, sub-scores, owner earnings and the valuation figures) · ADP's fourth-quarter and fiscal 2026 results release (July 29, 2026, furnished as an exhibit to Form 8-K at sec.gov, accessed August 15, 2026) · ADP's dividend-increase announcement (November 12, 2025, mediacenter.adp.com, accessed August 15, 2026) · ADP's Form 10-K for fiscal 2025, year ended June 30, 2025 (sec.gov).

Registry figures as of Sep 4, 2026, from filings through FY2026 under moat-index@3.0.0. Educational only — not a recommendation to buy or sell ADP. See the disclaimer.

Visual explainers

The filing-backed explainer service is temporarily unavailable, so no partial or guessed chart is shown.

Moat Score history

17 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale86.0 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 26, 2026Sep 4, 2026

Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)tomoat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
  2. Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0tomoat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
  3. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0tomoat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Insider activity

Form 4 reports mix P/S market or private transactions with compensation-plan mechanics. Activity casually described as “insider selling” can include compensation mechanics; awards, tax withholding, and option exercises are shown by their exact filed class here, never collapsed into “Bought” or “Sold.”

These are disclosed filing facts and arithmetic aggregates, not a signal or verdict.

The insider-filing service is temporarily unavailable, so no partial or guessed answer is shown for ADP.

Technology context

#35 of 749 scored Technology companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #33OLED UNIVERSAL DISPLAY CORPORATION86.3 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat
  2. #34CART MAPLEBEAR INC.86.1 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat
  3. #36WEX WEX Inc.85.9 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat
  4. #37DUOL Duolingo, Inc.85.8 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat

Compare ADP with its nearest peersAll Technology companies on the Index →

Common questions about ADP

Does AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING, INC. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2026 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING, INC. (ADP) 86.0 out of 100 — a Wide moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 95, pricing power 72, returns on capital not measurable from the filings, balance-sheet safety 82, capital allocation 95.
Is ADP trading below the conservative owner-earnings estimate?
The value if growth stopped today — a zero-growth baseline — is $104.80 per share. It capitalizes normalized owner earnings at a 9% rate and assumes 0% growth. Versus a recent price of $279.61, that is 167% above value if growth stopped today. The model also publishes a capped-growth comparison, but the zero-growth estimate is the cautious baseline. It assumes trailing owner earnings persist and is unreliable for declining businesses. This is an educational estimate from primary SEC filings, not intrinsic value as a fact or investment advice.
How has ADP's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 17 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 86.0 out of 100 (wide moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.