AGCO CORP /DE
AGCO · Industrials · $8.4B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·
Doesn't clear the bar
The four filters
Median gross margin 22.8% over 10y, stable.
Median ROIC 9.2%, above the 9% hurdle in 50% of years.
Net debt/EBITDA 2.7x, no material interest expense disclosed.
Owner earnings trend unclear, share count shrinking (buybacks).
Margin of safety
- Owner earnings (normalized)
- $501.3M
- Est. intrinsic value / share
- $76.69
- Recent price
- $115.33
- Discount to value
- 50% above value
Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).
19 years of fundamentals
The business, in plain English
AGCO CORP /DE booked $10.1B of revenue in FY2025 in the Industrials sector and kept 25.5% of it as gross profit — a moderate-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 7.2% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.
Across the filed record, revenue grew from $8.3B (FY2008) to $10.1B (FY2025) — about 1.2% a year compounded over 17 years.
It earned 10.2% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 10.1% across 18 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 36/100.
The balance sheet carried $2.4B of total debt in FY2025 against $478.6M of owner earnings — roughly 5.1 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 64/100.
The share count fell 21.4% between FY2009 and FY2025 — management has been retiring shares, which concentrates each remaining owner's claim. Capital Discipline scores it 61/100.
Put together: Balance-Sheet Safety is the strongest of the four filters (64/100) and Returns on Capital the weakest (36/100), which is how AGCO lands at 47/100 — a Shallow moat.
This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.
Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in AGCO’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.
Moat Score history
Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.
Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars
None yet — AGCO has read Shallow moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.
Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.
Industrials context
#126 of 309 scored Industrials companies, ranked by Moat Score.
Nearest peers by Moat Score
- #124NPK NATIONAL PRESTO INDUSTRIES INC46.9 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
- #125HUBG HUB GROUP, INC.46.6 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
- #127AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc.46.2 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
- #128GENC GENCOR INDUSTRIES, INC.45.7 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
Compare AGCO with its nearest peers →All Industrials companies on the Index →
Common questions about AGCO
- Does AGCO CORP /DE have an economic moat?
- Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores AGCO CORP /DE (AGCO) 46.5 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 36, returns on capital 36, balance-sheet safety 64, capital discipline 61.
- Is AGCO stock trading below its intrinsic value?
- Against a deliberately conservative owner-earnings model (9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth, capped at 4%), estimated intrinsic value is $76.69 per share versus a recent price of $115.33 — 50% above value. This is an educational estimate computed from primary SEC filings, not investment advice.
- How has AGCO's Moat Score changed over time?
- The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 46.5 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.