AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
ASTS · Communications · $14.7B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Narrow moat ·
On the watchlist
The five investor questions
2020–2025: revenue 5967000.00 to 70918000.00, increasing; diluted EPS -6.13 to -1.34, increasing. 2 fiscal years were not jointly reported; CAGR uses the full 5-year elapsed span. Diluted EPS was derived from net income and diluted weighted-average shares in 2 years where the direct tag was absent.
Median gross margin 49.3% over 3y, stable.
Not enough years of ROIC data to score returns on capital.
Net cash position — no leverage risk.
Owner earnings trend unclear, share count n/a.
The returnsOnCapital component abstained: Not enough years of ROIC data to score returns on capital. The other four 20% weights were renormalized over the scored 80%.
Price vs. owner-earnings value range
- Owner earnings (normalized)
- —
- Value range / share
- —
- Conservative high estimate / share
- —
- Recent price
- $57.42
- Price vs. high estimate
- No price data
Conservative range under moat-index@2.0.0: low end 11.1×, high end capped at 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.
7 years of fundamentals
The business, in plain English
Across the filed record, revenue grew from $6.0M (FY2020) to $70.9M (FY2025) — about 64.1% a year compounded over 5 years.
The balance sheet carried $2.2B of total debt in FY2025. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 78/100.
This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.
Not disclosed in ASTS’s filings for these years — we don’t estimate it.
Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in ASTS’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.
Moat Score history
Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars
- Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0tomoat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026
Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.
Track record
How AST SpaceMobile, Inc.’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.
How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored ASTS on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.
Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.
What followed, in the years it rated Wide
In the reconstructed history shown, ASTS did not rate Wide-moat in any year, so there is no wide-moat track record to report. That absence is itself the honest answer — we don’t manufacture a comparison where the rating never earned one.
Communications context
#15 of 135 scored Communications companies, ranked by Moat Score.
Nearest peers by Moat Score
- #13CLRI CLEARTRONIC, INC.65.8 out of 100, Narrow moatNarrow moat
- #14PLNT PLANET FITNESS, INC.65.1 out of 100, Narrow moatNarrow moat
- #16LTH Life Time Group Holdings, Inc.60.5 out of 100, Narrow moatNarrow moat
- #17GSAT GLOBALSTAR, INC.60.0 out of 100, Narrow moatNarrow moat
Compare ASTS with its nearest peers →All Communications companies on the Index →
Common questions about ASTS
- Does AST SpaceMobile, Inc. have an economic moat?
- Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores AST SpaceMobile, Inc. (ASTS) 63.9 out of 100 — a Narrow moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 63, pricing power 71, returns on capital not measurable from the filings, balance-sheet safety 78, capital discipline 44.
- How has ASTS's Moat Score changed over time?
- The record logs 9 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 63.9 out of 100 (narrow moat). No tier changes on record yet. (A methodology upgrade on Jul 20, 2026 re-based the score; readings across engine versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.