Does Axon Enterprise, Inc. have an economic moat?

Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) 46.2 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 100, returns on capital 14, balance-sheet safety 0, capital discipline 60.

Is AXON stock trading below its intrinsic value?

Against a deliberately conservative owner-earnings model (9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth, capped at 4%), estimated intrinsic value is $20.35 per share versus a recent price of $510.28 — 2407% above value. This is an educational estimate computed from primary SEC filings, not investment advice.

How has AXON's Moat Score changed over time?

The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 46.2 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.

The Moat Index

Axon Enterprise, Inc.

AXON · Industrials · $40.9B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

Shallow moat

The four filters

Pricing power100

Median gross margin 61.1% over 10y, very stable.

Returns on capital14

Median ROIC 4.9%, above the 9% hurdle in 40% of years.

Balance-sheet safety0

Net debt/EBITDA 28.9x, interest coverage -1x.

Capital discipline60

Owner earnings +24.5%/yr, share count growing (dilution).

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale

2407% above value

Owner earnings (normalized): $146.9M
Est. intrinsic value / share: $20.35
Recent price: $510.28
Discount to value: 2407% above value

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

18 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

Axon Enterprise, Inc. booked $2.8B of revenue in FY2025 in the Industrials sector and kept 59.7% of it as gross profit — a high-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 4.5% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $104.3M (FY2009) to $2.8B (FY2025) — about 22.8% a year compounded over 16 years.

It earned −1.6% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 7.6% across 17 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 14/100.

The balance sheet carried $1.8B of total debt in FY2025 against $124.7M of owner earnings — roughly 14.5 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 0/100.

The share count rose 28.1% between FY2010 and FY2025 — existing owners have been diluted over the record. Capital Discipline scores it 60/100.

Put together: Pricing Power is the strongest of the four filters (100/100) and Balance-Sheet Safety the weakest (0/100), which is how AXON lands at 46/100 — a Shallow moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

RevenueSales, as filed$2.8B FY2025

Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods59.7% FY2025

Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed−1.6% FY2025

Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$124.7M FY2025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in AXON’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale46.2 / 100

Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.

Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

None yet — AXON has read Shallow moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Industrials context

#127 of 309 scored Industrials companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

#125HUBG HUB GROUP, INC.46.6 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
#126AGCO AGCO CORP /DE46.5 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
#128GENC GENCOR INDUSTRIES, INC.45.7 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
#129RLGT RADIANT LOGISTICS, INC.45.3 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat

Compare AXON with its nearest peers →All Industrials companies on the Index →

Common questions about AXON

Does Axon Enterprise, Inc. have an economic moat?: Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores Axon Enterprise, Inc. (AXON) 46.2 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 100, returns on capital 14, balance-sheet safety 0, capital discipline 60.
Is AXON stock trading below its intrinsic value?: Against a deliberately conservative owner-earnings model (9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth, capped at 4%), estimated intrinsic value is $20.35 per share versus a recent price of $510.28 — 2407% above value. This is an educational estimate computed from primary SEC filings, not investment advice.
How has AXON's Moat Score changed over time?: The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 46.2 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.

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Scored from primary SEC filings via the public methodology. Educational only — not a recommendation to buy or sell AXON. See the disclaimer.