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DILLARD’S, INC.

DDS · Consumer Discretionary · $10.6M mkt cap · FY2026 filings · · not refreshed in 8 days · Narrow moat ·

Price verdict withheld — value if growth stopped today unreliable

Narrow moat
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The five investor questions

43

2022–2026 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $6.5B to $6.5B, decreasing; diluted EPS 41.88 to 36.42, decreasing.

50

Median gross margin 36.0% over 10y, stable.

—

Not enough years of ROIC data to score returns on capital.

67

Net debt/EBITDA n/ax, interest coverage 18x.

89

Owner earnings changed +8.8%/yr over up to the ten most recent annual observations.

The returnsOnCapital component abstained: Not enough years of ROIC data to score returns on capital. The other four 20% weights were renormalized over the scored 80%.

Price vs. value if growth stopped today

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above value if growth stopped todayBelow value if growth stopped today
100% below value if growth stopped today
$785M
$557490.33
$557490.33
$677.52
100% below value if growth stopped today

A discount this large is often a warning rather than a bargain — the market may expect earnings to keep falling. See the revenue trend above.

How to read this

What today’s price assumes: owner earnings shrinking ~74%/yr over 5 years. The estimate assumes owner earnings stay flat (0% growth).

We solve for the constant annual change in owner earnings that would make the five-year zero-growth estimate equal today’s price. This keeps the existing model inputs and calculation unchanged; it is an expectations lens, not a forecast.

This zero-growth estimate assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. DDS revenue fell in each of the three most recent year-over-year FY comparisons, so this estimate is flagged as unreliable for this company.

Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 216% above the zero-growth estimate across 49 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Sep 29, 2026 through Sep 30, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, IBEX, META, MEDP, MSFT, GOOG, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, CPRT, VEEV, RMD, GRMN, PCTY, EAT, UI, SSD, MNST, DOCS, LRCX, MCO, NTAP, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, ROL, CTAS, PAYC, IRMD, DECK, MORN, INTU, JKHY, TPR, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, LOPE

Missing a usable price or zero-growth estimate: ANF.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth multiple 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

19 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

DILLARD’S, INC. booked $6.5B of revenue in FY2026 in the Consumer Discretionary sector and kept 39.5% of it as gross profit — a solid-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 8.8% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue shrank from $7.0B (FY2009) to $6.5B (FY2026) — about −0.4% a year compounded over 17 years.

DDS's latest filed year, FY2026, doesn't disclose total debt in a form the methodology can use, so current leverage is treated as unmeasured — never assumed to be zero.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2008–FY2026 · 19 fiscal years, normalized from DDS’s SEC filings

Sales, as filed$6.5B FY2026
$0$5B2008201420202026
Revenue kept after cost of goods39.5% FY2026
0%20%40%2008201420202026
Standard ROIC or separately labeled Operating ROIC

Exact FY and FY-1 financing invested-capital inputs are required.. Current-year EBIT, tax expense, and non-zero pretax income are required for standard ROIC.

Exact FY and FY-1 financing invested-capital inputs are required.. Current-year EBIT, tax expense, and non-zero pretax income are required for standard ROIC.

Cash an owner could take out$656M FY2026
$0$500M$1B2008201420202026

The explained ROIC gaps have filed inputs but no meaningful positive invested-capital denominator. Other gaps mean the item is not in the filings for that year. The series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Flagship explainer

How DILLARD’S, INC. makes its money

DILLARD’S, INC.'s filing does not supply enough comparable lines for a truthful flow chart — here's what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of revenueSource
$6.5B100%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Cost of revenue$3.9B61%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
$2.6B39%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Income before tax$694M11%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Income tax$125M2%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
$570M9%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Source:
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
· event Jan 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 30, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

What DILLARD’S, INC. owns — and owes

DILLARD’S, INC.'s filing tags don't support a full breakdown — here's what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of assetsSource
Total assets$3.5B100%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Cash and equivalents$861M25%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Stockholders’ equity$1.8B51%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Source:
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
· event Jan 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 30, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

What drives DILLARD’S, INC.’s return on equity?

One or more filed inputs needed for the five-factor decomposition are unavailable.

DuPont source inputs
InputValueFiscal yearSource
Net income$570MFY2026
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Income before tax$694MFY2026
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Operating incomeUnavailableFY2026
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Revenue$6.5BFY2026
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Ending assets$3.5BFY2026
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Beginning assets$3.5BFY2025
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-25-000004 · filed Mar 28, 2025
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Ending equity$1.8BFY2026
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Beginning equity$1.8BFY2025
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-25-000004 · filed Mar 28, 2025
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Source: · event Jan 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 30, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

Where DILLARD’S, INC.'s cash went

DILLARD’S, INC.’s filing does not supply enough provenance-matched cash-flow lines for a truthful flow chart — here’s what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of cash from operationsSource
Cash from operations$717M100%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Depreciation and amortization$179M25%
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
Source:
  • 10-K · FY 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000028917-26-000006 · filed Mar 27, 2026
· event Jan 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 30, 2026 · annual-row source set

Curated 19-manager tier

Who reported holding DILLARD’S, INC.

Delayed public 13F reports for 2026-Q2—not live positions, trades, or recommendations.

0 holding0 exited18 not holding18/19 resolved1 not retrieved

Named manager positions and quarter-over-quarter changes
ManagerReported positionQuarter-over-quarterFiling accession
Abrams CapitalNo position reportedNo position reported
Akre CapitalNo position reportedNo position reported
Baupost GroupNo position reportedNo position reported
Berkshire HathawayNo position reportedNo position reported
Brave Warrior AdvisorsNo position reportedNo position reported
Dodge & CoxNo position reportedNo position reported
First EagleNo position reportedNo position reported
FundsmithNo position reportedNo position reported
Gardner Russo & QuinnNo position reportedNo position reported
Gates Foundation TrustNo position reportedNo position reported
Mairs & PowerNo position reportedNo position reported
Markel / Markel-GaynerNo position reportedNo position reported
Oakmark / Harris AssociatesNo position reportedNo position reported
Polen CapitalNo position reportedNo position reported
Sequoia / Ruane CunniffNo position reportedNo position reported
Southeastern Asset ManagementNo position reportedNo position reported
Tweedy, BrowneNo position reportedNo position reported
Yacktman Asset ManagementNo position reportedNo position reported
Pershing SquareNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved

Position size uses shares and filed value from each manager’s 13F. Portfolio weight uses the eligible long-share filing denominator. Changes compare only with the immediately preceding calendar quarter.

Source:
37 SEC filings
  1. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000813917-26-000038 · filed May 15, 2026
  2. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000813917-26-000042 · filed Aug 14, 2026
  3. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000860643-26-000003 · filed May 13, 2026
  4. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000860643-26-000005 · filed Aug 13, 2026
  5. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000905567-26-000002 · filed May 1, 2026
  6. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000905567-26-000003 · filed Aug 11, 2026
  7. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000919574-26-003132 · filed May 15, 2026
  8. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0000919574-26-005176 · filed Aug 14, 2026
  9. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001061768-26-000007 · filed May 14, 2026
  10. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001061768-26-000010 · filed Aug 13, 2026
  11. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001096343-26-000044 · filed May 1, 2026
  12. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001096343-26-000065 · filed Jul 31, 2026
  13. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001104659-26-062592 · filed May 15, 2026
  14. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001104659-26-097175 · filed Aug 14, 2026
  15. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001112520-26-000009 · filed May 14, 2026
  16. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001112520-26-000014 · filed Aug 14, 2026
  17. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001172661-26-001819 · filed May 14, 2026
  18. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001172661-26-001911 · filed May 14, 2026
  19. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001172661-26-001966 · filed May 14, 2026
  20. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001172661-26-002294 · filed May 15, 2026
  21. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001172661-26-003035 · filed Aug 4, 2026
  22. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001172661-26-003402 · filed Aug 13, 2026
  23. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001172661-26-003496 · filed Aug 14, 2026
  24. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001172661-26-003728 · filed Aug 14, 2026
  25. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001193125-26-208439 · filed May 6, 2026
  26. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001193125-26-223352 · filed May 14, 2026
  27. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001193125-26-226661 · filed May 15, 2026
  28. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001193125-26-340443 · filed Aug 7, 2026
  29. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001193125-26-349535 · filed Aug 13, 2026
  30. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001193125-26-352200 · filed Aug 14, 2026
  31. 13F-HR/A · Q1 2026 · Amendment RESTATEMENTFiling detailsAccession 0001325447-26-000018 · filed May 14, 2026
  32. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001325447-26-000020 · filed Aug 5, 2026
  33. 13F-HR/A · Q2 2026 · Amendment NEW HOLDINGSFiling detailsAccession 0001325447-26-000033 · filed Aug 24, 2026
  34. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001398344-26-009296 · filed May 15, 2026
  35. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001398344-26-014641 · filed Aug 14, 2026
  36. 13F-HR · Q1 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001569205-26-000005 · filed May 15, 2026
  37. 13F-HR · Q2 2026Filing detailsAccession 0001569205-26-000012 · filed Aug 14, 2026
· event Jun 30, 2026 · retrieved Sep 30, 2026

Flagship explainer

What DILLARD’S, INC. insiders reported

We could not retrieve insider activity for this rendering; no zero-activity claim is shown.

Unavailable: Form 4 activity could not be retrieved for this rendering.

Moat Score history

21 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale62.1 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 26, 2026Sep 30, 2026

Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)moat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
  2. Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0moat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
  3. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0moat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Insider activity

Form 4 reports mix P/S market or private transactions with compensation-plan mechanics. Activity casually described as “insider selling” can include compensation mechanics; awards, tax withholding, and option exercises are shown by their exact filed class here, never collapsed into “Bought” or “Sold.”

These are disclosed filing facts and arithmetic aggregates, not a signal or verdict.

The insider-filing service is temporarily unavailable, so no partial or guessed answer is shown for DDS.

Track record

How DILLARD’S, INC.’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.

Point-in-time scores 2011–2025, one methodology version · reconstructed from filings on file each Dec 31 — never with hindsight

Point-in-time Moat Score (dot colored by tier)Indexed price (total-return (dividends reinvested))Rated Wide-moat that year

How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored DDS on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.

0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatPoint-in-time Moat Score1002005001,0002,000Indexed price · log scale (2012 = 100)201120142017202020232026

Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.

What followed, in the years it rated Wide

In the reconstructed history shown, DDS did not rate Wide-moat in any year, so there is no wide-moat track record to report. That absence is itself the honest answer — we don’t manufacture a comparison where the rating never earned one.

Consumer Discretionary context

#115 of 487 scored Consumer Discretionary companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #113VLGEA VILLAGE SUPER MARKET, INC.62.3Narrow moat
  2. #114BBY Best Buy Co., Inc.62.2Narrow moat
  3. #116NROM NOBLE ROMAN’S, INC.62.1Narrow moat
  4. #117NRDY NERDY INC.62.0Narrow moat

Compare DDS with its nearest peers →All Consumer Discretionary companies on the Index →

Common questions about DDS

Does DILLARD’S, INC. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2026 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores DILLARD’S, INC. (DDS) 62.1 out of 100 — a Narrow moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 43, pricing power 50, returns on capital not measurable from the filings, balance-sheet safety 67, capital allocation 89.
Is DDS trading below the conservative owner-earnings estimate?
The value if growth stopped today — a zero-growth baseline — is $557490.33 per share. It capitalizes normalized owner earnings at a 9% rate and assumes 0% growth. Versus a recent price of $677.52, that is 100% below value if growth stopped today. The model also publishes a capped-growth comparison, but the zero-growth estimate is the cautious baseline. It assumes trailing owner earnings persist and is unreliable for declining businesses. This is an educational estimate from primary SEC filings, not intrinsic value as a fact or investment advice.
How has DDS's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 21 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 62.1 out of 100 (narrow moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.

Scored from primary SEC filings via the public methodology. Educational only — not a recommendation to buy or sell DDS. See the disclaimer.