Does GREEN THUMB INDUSTRIES INC. have an economic moat?

Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores GREEN THUMB INDUSTRIES INC. (GTBIF) 45.6 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 80, returns on capital 11, balance-sheet safety 67, capital discipline 24.

Is GTBIF stock trading below its intrinsic value?

Against a deliberately conservative owner-earnings model (9% discount rate, 4% assumed growth, capped at 4%), estimated intrinsic value is $5.73 per share versus a recent price of $7.11 — 24% above value. This is an educational estimate computed from primary SEC filings, not investment advice.

How has GTBIF's Moat Score changed over time?

The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 45.6 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.

The Moat Index

GREEN THUMB INDUSTRIES INC.

GTBIF · Agriculture · $1.7B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

Shallow moat

The four filters

Pricing power80

Median gross margin 49.7% over 8y, very stable.

Returns on capital11

Median ROIC 6.5%, above the 9% hurdle in 13% of years.

Balance-sheet safety67

Net cash position — no leverage risk.

Capital discipline24

Owner earnings trend unclear, share count growing (dilution).

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale

24% above value

Owner earnings (normalized): $75.4M
Est. intrinsic value / share: $5.73
Recent price: $7.11
Discount to value: 24% above value

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 4% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

9 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

GREEN THUMB INDUSTRIES INC. booked $1.2B of revenue in FY2025 in the Agriculture sector and kept 48.9% of it as gross profit — a solid-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 9.7% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $62.5M (FY2018) to $1.2B (FY2025) — about 52.1% a year compounded over 7 years.

It earned 4.8% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 6.5% across 8 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 11/100.

The balance sheet carried $247.3M of total debt in FY2025 against $178.5M of owner earnings — roughly 1.4 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 67/100.

The share count rose 82.1% between FY2018 and FY2025 — existing owners have been diluted over the record. Capital Discipline scores it 24/100.

Put together: Pricing Power is the strongest of the four filters (80/100) and Returns on Capital the weakest (11/100), which is how GTBIF lands at 46/100 — a Shallow moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

RevenueSales, as filed$1.2B FY2025

Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods48.9% FY2025

Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed4.8% FY2025

Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$178.5M FY2025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in GTBIF’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale45.6 / 100

Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.

Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

None yet — GTBIF has read Shallow moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Agriculture context

#2 of 12 scored Agriculture companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

#1CALM Cal-Maine Foods, Inc.47.2 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
#3ALCO ALICO, INC.27.1 out of 100, No moatNo moat
#4ITHUF IANTHUS CAPITAL HOLDINGS, INC.26.7 out of 100, No moatNo moat
#5DMC FRESH DEL MONTE PRODUCE INC25.6 out of 100, No moatNo moat

Compare GTBIF with its nearest peers →All Agriculture companies on the Index →

Common questions about GTBIF

Does GREEN THUMB INDUSTRIES INC. have an economic moat?: Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores GREEN THUMB INDUSTRIES INC. (GTBIF) 45.6 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 80, returns on capital 11, balance-sheet safety 67, capital discipline 24.
Is GTBIF stock trading below its intrinsic value?: Against a deliberately conservative owner-earnings model (9% discount rate, 4% assumed growth, capped at 4%), estimated intrinsic value is $5.73 per share versus a recent price of $7.11 — 24% above value. This is an educational estimate computed from primary SEC filings, not investment advice.
How has GTBIF's Moat Score changed over time?: The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 45.6 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.

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Scored from primary SEC filings via the public methodology. Educational only — not a recommendation to buy or sell GTBIF. See the disclaimer.