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JAKKS Pacific, Inc.

JAKK · Consumer Discretionary · $278M mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·

Price verdict withheld — value if growth stopped today unreliable

Shallow moat
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The five investor questions

36

2021–2025 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $621M to $571M, decreasing; diluted EPS -0.98 to 0.86, increasing. Latest-filed diluted EPS remains usable for Business Trend, but an integer share-count change lacks enough evidence to confirm a comparable EPS basis; valuation growth therefore stays at 0%.

46

Median gross margin 29.2% over 10y, stable.

85

Median ROIC 19.6%, above the 12% hurdle in 63% of years.

73

Net debt/EBITDA n/ax, interest coverage 30x.

42

Owner earnings changed +1.3%/yr over up to the ten most recent annual observations, share count n/a.

Price vs. value if growth stopped today

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above value if growth stopped todayBelow value if growth stopped today
26% below value if growth stopped today
$33.9M
$33.23
$33.23
$24.50
26% below value if growth stopped today

A discount this large is often a warning rather than a bargain — the market may expect earnings to keep falling. See the revenue trend above.

How to read this

What today’s price assumes: owner earnings shrinking ~6%/yr over 5 years. The estimate assumes owner earnings stay flat (0% growth).

We solve for the constant annual change in owner earnings that would make the five-year zero-growth estimate equal today’s price. This keeps the existing model inputs and calculation unchanged; it is an expectations lens, not a forecast.

This zero-growth estimate assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. JAKK revenue fell in each of the three most recent year-over-year FY comparisons, so this estimate is flagged as unreliable for this company.

Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 239% above the zero-growth estimate across 48 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Jul 26, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, META, MEDP, IBEX, MSFT, GOOGL, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, VEEV, GRMN, SSD, MNST, DOCS, MCO, CPRT, NTAP, LRCX, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, RMD, ROL, PAYC, IRMD, INTU, DECK, MORN, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, CTAS, LOPE, MRK, CMG, FAST, BKNG, ORLY

Missing a usable price or zero-growth estimate: ANF, BKNG.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth multiple 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

18 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

JAKKS Pacific, Inc. booked $571M of revenue in FY2025 in the Consumer Discretionary sector and kept 32.4% of it as gross profit — a moderate-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 1.7% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue shrank from $804M (FY2009) to $571M (FY2025) — about −2.1% a year compounded over 16 years.

It earned 4.8% on invested capital in the latest filed year, FY2025. Across the full 15-year measurable filed record, median ROIC was 19.1%. Over the v3 recent window (8 measurable filed years), median ROIC was 19.6%. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 85/100.

JAKK's latest filed year, FY2025, doesn't disclose total debt in a form the methodology can use, so current leverage is treated as unmeasured — never assumed to be zero.

Put together: Returns on Capital is the strongest of the five filters (85/100) and Business Trend the weakest (36/100), which is how JAKK lands at 56/100 — a Shallow moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2008–FY2025 · 18 fiscal years, normalized from JAKK’s SEC filings

Sales, as filed$571M FY2025
$0$500M2008201420202025
Revenue kept after cost of goods32.4% FY2025
0%25%50%2008201420202025
Standard ROIC or separately labeled Operating ROICROIC 4.8% FY2025

Not meaningful FY2019–2020: invested capital is negative (cash exceeds debt + equity)

−200%0%2008201420202025
Cash an owner could take out$10.5M FY2025
−$400M−$200M$02008201420202025

The explained ROIC gaps have filed inputs but no meaningful positive invested-capital denominator. Other gaps mean the item is not in the filings for that year. The series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Flagship explainer

How JAKKS Pacific, Inc. makes its money

Start with a dollar of revenue and follow what the filing says remains.

revenueBranching filed flows with values and percentages directly labeled. Missing filing concepts are omitted rather than estimated.Revenue$571M · 100%Cost of revenue$386M · 68%Gross profit$185M · 32%Operating income$14.2M · 2%Income before tax$14.8M · 3%Income tax$4.9M · 1%Net income$9.9M · 2%As of 2025-12-31 · 1 SEC filing sourceBuy Like Buffett · buylikebuffett.com

Honest partial: the filing did not provide a normalized tag for Research and development, Selling, general and administrative; those components are omitted, not plugged.

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of revenueSource
$571M100%
Cost of revenue$386M68%
$185M32%
$14.2M2%
Income before tax$14.8M3%
Income tax$4.9M1%
$9.9M2%
Source: · event Dec 31, 2025 · retrieved Jul 26, 2026 · annual-row source set
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Flagship explainer

What JAKKS Pacific, Inc. owns — and owes

JAKKS Pacific, Inc.'s filing tags don't support a full breakdown — here's what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of assetsSource
Total assets$442M100%
Cash and equivalents$52.2M12%
Stockholders’ equity$249M56%
Source: · event Dec 31, 2025 · retrieved Jul 26, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

What drives JAKKS Pacific, Inc.’s return on equity?

ROE is five filed business factors multiplied together.

DuPont return on equity factor treeReturn on equity branches into tax burden, interest burden, operating margin, asset turnover, and the equity multiplier.Return on equity4%Tax burden67%net income ÷ pretax incomeInterest burden104%pretax ÷ operating incomeOperating margin2%operating income ÷ revenueAsset turnover1.29×revenue ÷ average assetsEquity multiplier1.81×average assets ÷ average equityAs of 2025-12-31 · 1 SEC filing sourceBuy Like Buffett · buylikebuffett.com
DuPont source inputs
InputValueFiscal yearSource
$9.9MFY2025
Income before tax$14.8MFY2025
Operating income$14.2MFY2025
$571MFY2025
Ending assets$442MFY2025
Beginning assets$445MFY2024
$249MFY2025
$240MFY2024
Source:
  • SEC filingFiling detailsAccession 0001185185-26-000723
· event Dec 31, 2025 · retrieved Jul 26, 2026 · annual-row source set
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Flagship explainer

Where JAKKS Pacific, Inc.'s cash went

JAKKS Pacific, Inc.’s filing does not supply enough provenance-matched cash-flow lines for a truthful flow chart — here’s what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of cash from operationsSource
Cash from operations$8.5M100%
Depreciation and amortization$10.2M121%
Source: · event Dec 31, 2025 · retrieved Jul 26, 2026 · annual-row source set

Curated 19-manager tier

Who reported holding JAKKS Pacific, Inc.

Delayed public 13F reports for 2026-Q2—not live positions, trades, or recommendations.

0 holding0 exited0 not holding0/19 resolved19 unavailable

Named manager positions and quarter-over-quarter changes
ManagerReported positionQuarter-over-quarterFiling accession
Abrams CapitalUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Akre CapitalUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Baupost GroupUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Berkshire HathawayUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Brave Warrior AdvisorsUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Dodge & CoxUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
First EagleUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
FundsmithUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Gardner Russo & QuinnUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Gates Foundation TrustUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Mairs & PowerUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Markel / Markel-GaynerUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Oakmark / Harris AssociatesUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Pershing SquareUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Polen CapitalUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Sequoia / Ruane CunniffUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Southeastern Asset ManagementUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Tweedy, BrowneUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Yacktman Asset ManagementUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable

Position size uses shares and filed value from each manager’s 13F. Portfolio weight uses the eligible long-share filing denominator. Changes compare only with the immediately preceding calendar quarter.

Source: Filing source unavailable · event Jun 30, 2026 · retrieved Jul 26, 2026

Flagship explainer

What JAKKS Pacific, Inc. insiders reported

Records still being gathered — partial as of retrieval Aug 17, 2026.

Partial coverage: the incomplete Form 4 walk cannot establish no activity, an activity date, or zero counts.

Moat Score history

15 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale56.3 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026Jul 26, 2026

Breaks in the line mark methodology or normalizer upgrades — readings across versions aren’t compared, so a level shift there isn’t a change in the business.

Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)moat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
  2. Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0moat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
  3. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0moat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Insider activity

Form 4 reports mix P/S market or private transactions with compensation-plan mechanics. Activity casually described as “insider selling” can include compensation mechanics; awards, tax withholding, and option exercises are shown by their exact filed class here, never collapsed into “Bought” or “Sold.”

These are disclosed filing facts and arithmetic aggregates, not a signal or verdict.

This machine-readable surface covers SEC ownership filings from 2003; it does not represent earlier paper-era records.

Records still being gathered — partial as of retrieval Aug 17, 2026.

42 filings were skipped because the SEC primary document returned 404; the omission is disclosed and aggregates are withheld.

Trailing-12-month totals and the 90-day cluster result are withheld because this issuer walk is incomplete.

No reported Form 4 rows were captured for JAKK; the incomplete walk cannot establish zero activity, zero counts, or a negative cluster result.

A filing source-event date will appear when a Form 4 row is captured.

Retrieved .

Consumer Discretionary context

#145 of 487 scored Consumer Discretionary companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #143LEEN Leopard Energy, Inc.56.8Shallow moat
  2. #144MLR MILLER INDUSTRIES, INC.56.5Shallow moat
  3. #146SAH SONIC AUTOMOTIVE, INC.56.3Shallow moat
  4. #147CRI Carter's, Inc.56.3Shallow moat

Compare JAKK with its nearest peers →All Consumer Discretionary companies on the Index →

Common questions about JAKK

Does JAKKS Pacific, Inc. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores JAKKS Pacific, Inc. (JAKK) 56.3 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 36, pricing power 46, returns on capital 85, balance-sheet safety 73, capital allocation 42.
Is JAKK trading below the conservative owner-earnings estimate?
The value if growth stopped today — a zero-growth baseline — is $33.23 per share. It capitalizes normalized owner earnings at a 9% rate and assumes 0% growth. Versus a recent price of $24.50, that is 26% below value if growth stopped today. The model also publishes a capped-growth comparison, but the zero-growth estimate is the cautious baseline. It assumes trailing owner earnings persist and is unreliable for declining businesses. This is an educational estimate from primary SEC filings, not intrinsic value as a fact or investment advice.
How has JAKK's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 15 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 56.3 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.

Scored from primary SEC filings via the public methodology. Educational only — not a recommendation to buy or sell JAKK. See the disclaimer.