LIVE NATION ENTERTAINMENT, INC.
LYV · Communications · $41.7B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·
Doesn't clear the bar
The five investor questions
2021–2025 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $6.3B to $25.2B, increasing; diluted EPS -3.09 to -0.24, increasing.
Not enough years of gross-margin data to score pricing power.
Median ROIC 10.6%, above the 12% hurdle in 44% of years.
Net debt/EBITDA 0.6x, interest coverage 4x.
Owner earnings changed +14.4%/yr over up to the ten most recent annual observations.
The pricingPower component abstained: Not enough years of gross-margin data to score pricing power. The other four 20% weights were renormalized over the scored 80%.
Price vs. value if growth stopped today
A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.
- $496M
- $23.41
- $23.41
- $177.24
- 657% above value if growth stopped today
What today’s price assumes: owner earnings growing ~50%/yr over 5 years. The zero-growth estimate assumes owner earnings stay flat (0% growth).
How to read this
We solve for the constant annual change in owner earnings that would make the five-year zero-growth estimate equal today’s price. This keeps the existing model inputs and calculation unchanged; it is an expectations lens, not a forecast.
This zero-growth estimate assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. Flag status unavailable — four adjacent recent FY revenue observations are required.
Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth multiple 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.
Fundamentals
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Visual explainers
The filing-backed explainer service is temporarily unavailable, so no partial or guessed chart is shown.
Moat Score history
Breaks in the line mark methodology or normalizer upgrades — readings across versions aren’t compared, so a level shift there isn’t a change in the business.
Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars
- Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)tomoat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
- Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0tomoat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
- Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0tomoat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026
Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.
Insider activity
Form 4 reports mix P/S market or private transactions with compensation-plan mechanics. Activity casually described as “insider selling” can include compensation mechanics; awards, tax withholding, and option exercises are shown by their exact filed class here, never collapsed into “Bought” or “Sold.”
These are disclosed filing facts and arithmetic aggregates, not a signal or verdict.
The insider-filing service is temporarily unavailable, so no partial or guessed answer is shown for LYV.
Track record
How LIVE NATION ENTERTAINMENT, INC.’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.
How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored LYV on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.
Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.
What followed, in the years it rated Wide
In the reconstructed history shown, LYV did not rate Wide-moat in any year, so there is no wide-moat track record to report. That absence is itself the honest answer — we don’t manufacture a comparison where the rating never earned one.
Communications context
#23 of 134 scored Communications companies, ranked by Moat Score.
Nearest peers by Moat Score
- #21SPOK SPOK HOLDINGS, INC.55.8 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
- #22WMG Warner Music Group Corp.55.2 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
- #24ADEA Adeia Inc.54.0 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
- #25MTN Vail Resorts, Inc.53.4 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
Compare LYV with its nearest peers →All Communications companies on the Index →
Common questions about LYV
- Does LIVE NATION ENTERTAINMENT, INC. have an economic moat?
- Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores LIVE NATION ENTERTAINMENT, INC. (LYV) 54.2 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 65, pricing power not measurable from the filings, returns on capital 40, balance-sheet safety 52, capital allocation 60.
- Is LYV trading below the conservative owner-earnings estimate?
- The value if growth stopped today — a zero-growth baseline — is $23.41 per share. It capitalizes normalized owner earnings at a 9% rate and assumes 0% growth. Versus a recent price of $177.24, that is 657% above value if growth stopped today. The model also publishes a capped-growth comparison, but the zero-growth estimate is the cautious baseline. It assumes trailing owner earnings persist and is unreliable for declining businesses. This is an educational estimate from primary SEC filings, not intrinsic value as a fact or investment advice.
- How has LYV's Moat Score changed over time?
- The record logs 16 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 54.2 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.