The Moat Index

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION

MPC · Energy · FY2025 filings · No moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

37/ 100
No moat

The four filters

Pricing power7

Median gross margin 10.3% over 10y, variable.

Returns on capital44

Median ROIC 11.1%, above the 9% hurdle in 50% of years.

Balance-sheet safety29

Net debt/EBITDA 2.5x, interest coverage 6x.

Capital discipline80

Owner earnings +14.7%/yr, share count n/a.

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale
No price data
Owner earnings (normalized)
$11.1B
Est. intrinsic value / share
Recent price
$312.60
Discount to value
No price data

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

18 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION booked $132.7B of revenue in FY2025 in the Energy sector and kept 10.0% of it as gross profit — a thin-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 3.0% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $45.5B (FY2009) to $132.7B (FY2025) — about 6.9% a year compounded over 16 years.

It earned 14.9% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 13.8% across 17 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 44/100.

The balance sheet carried $32.9B of total debt in FY2025 against $4.0B of owner earnings — roughly 8.1 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 29/100.

Put together: Capital Discipline is the strongest of the four filters (80/100) and Pricing Power the weakest (7/100), which is how MPC lands at 37/100 — a None moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2008–FY2025 · 18 fiscal years, normalized from MPC’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$132.7B FY2025
$0$100B2008201420202025
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods10.0% FY2025
0%10%2008201420202025
Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed14.9% FY2025
0%25%2008201420202025
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$4.0B FY2025
−$10B$0$10B2008201420202025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in MPC’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

3 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale37.1 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026

Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.

Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

None yet — MPC has read No moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Energy context

#3 of 7 scored Energy companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #1VVV VALVOLINE INC.64.9 out of 100, Narrow moatNarrow moat
  2. #2VLO VALERO ENERGY CORP/TX37.8 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  3. #4CVI CVR ENERGY, INC32.7 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  4. #5PBF PBF ENERGY INC.31.9 out of 100, No moatNo moat

Compare MPC with its nearest peersAll Energy companies on the Index →

Common questions about MPC

Does MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION (MPC) 37.1 out of 100 — below the Shallow-moat bar, so no moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 7, returns on capital 44, balance-sheet safety 29, capital discipline 80.
How has MPC's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 37.1 out of 100 (no moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.
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MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION (MPC) Moat Score — The Moat Index · Buy Like Buffett