MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION
MPC · Energy · FY2025 filings · No moat ·
Doesn't clear the bar
The four filters
Median gross margin 10.3% over 10y, variable.
Median ROIC 11.1%, above the 9% hurdle in 50% of years.
Net debt/EBITDA 2.5x, interest coverage 6x.
Owner earnings +14.7%/yr, share count n/a.
Margin of safety
- Owner earnings (normalized)
- $11.1B
- Est. intrinsic value / share
- —
- Recent price
- $312.60
- Discount to value
- No price data
Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).
18 years of fundamentals
The business, in plain English
MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION booked $132.7B of revenue in FY2025 in the Energy sector and kept 10.0% of it as gross profit — a thin-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 3.0% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.
Across the filed record, revenue grew from $45.5B (FY2009) to $132.7B (FY2025) — about 6.9% a year compounded over 16 years.
It earned 14.9% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 13.8% across 17 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 44/100.
The balance sheet carried $32.9B of total debt in FY2025 against $4.0B of owner earnings — roughly 8.1 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 29/100.
Put together: Capital Discipline is the strongest of the four filters (80/100) and Pricing Power the weakest (7/100), which is how MPC lands at 37/100 — a None moat.
This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.
Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in MPC’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.
Moat Score history
Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.
Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars
None yet — MPC has read No moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.
Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.
Energy context
#3 of 7 scored Energy companies, ranked by Moat Score.
Nearest peers by Moat Score
- #1VVV VALVOLINE INC.64.9 out of 100, Narrow moatNarrow moat
- #2VLO VALERO ENERGY CORP/TX37.8 out of 100, No moatNo moat
- #4CVI CVR ENERGY, INC32.7 out of 100, No moatNo moat
- #5PBF PBF ENERGY INC.31.9 out of 100, No moatNo moat
Compare MPC with its nearest peers →All Energy companies on the Index →
Common questions about MPC
- Does MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION have an economic moat?
- Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION (MPC) 37.1 out of 100 — below the Shallow-moat bar, so no moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 7, returns on capital 44, balance-sheet safety 29, capital discipline 80.
- How has MPC's Moat Score changed over time?
- The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 37.1 out of 100 (no moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.