The Moat Index

MURPHY OIL CORPORATION

MUR · Materials · $5.3B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

54/ 100
Shallow moat

The four filters

Pricing power100

Median gross margin 99.9% over 6y, very stable.

Returns on capital7

Median ROIC 4.2%, above the 9% hurdle in 20% of years.

Balance-sheet safety47

Net debt/EBITDA 0.8x, interest coverage 3x.

Capital discipline64

Owner earnings trend unclear, share count shrinking (buybacks).

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale
16% above value
Owner earnings (normalized)
$407.2M
Est. intrinsic value / share
$31.68
Recent price
$36.83
Discount to value
16% above value

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

20 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

MURPHY OIL CORPORATION booked $2.7B of revenue in FY2025 in the Materials sector and kept 100.0% of it as gross profit — a high-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 3.9% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue shrank from $18.3B (FY2007) to $2.7B (FY2025) — about −10.1% a year compounded over 18 years.

It earned 3.7% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of 3.7% across 11 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 7/100.

The balance sheet carried $1.4B of total debt in FY2025 against $104.2M of owner earnings — roughly 13.3 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 47/100.

The share count fell 24.7% between FY2007 and FY2025 — management has been retiring shares, which concentrates each remaining owner's claim. Capital Discipline scores it 64/100.

Put together: Pricing Power is the strongest of the four filters (100/100) and Returns on Capital the weakest (7/100), which is how MUR lands at 54/100 — a Shallow moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2006–FY2025 · 20 fiscal years, normalized from MUR’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$2.7B FY2025
$0$10B$20B2006201320202025
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods100.0% FY2025
0%50%100%2006201320202025
Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed3.7% FY2025
−20%0%20%2006201320202025
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$104.2M FY2025
−$2B$0$2B2006201320202025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in MUR’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

3 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale54.3 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026

Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.

Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

None yet — MUR has read Shallow moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Materials context

#62 of 214 scored Materials companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #60AVNT AVIENT CORPORATION54.9 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  2. #61UFPI UFP INDUSTRIES, INC.54.6 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  3. #63EPC EDGEWELL PERSONAL CARE COMPANY54.3 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  4. #64RSRV RESERVE PETROLEUM CO54.1 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat

Compare MUR with its nearest peersAll Materials companies on the Index →

Common questions about MUR

Does MURPHY OIL CORPORATION have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores MURPHY OIL CORPORATION (MUR) 54.3 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 100, returns on capital 7, balance-sheet safety 47, capital discipline 64.
Is MUR stock trading below its intrinsic value?
Against a deliberately conservative owner-earnings model (9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth, capped at 4%), estimated intrinsic value is $31.68 per share versus a recent price of $36.83 — 16% above value. This is an educational estimate computed from primary SEC filings, not investment advice.
How has MUR's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 54.3 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.
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MURPHY OIL CORPORATION (MUR) Moat Score — The Moat Index · Buy Like Buffett