The Moat Index

NATERA, INC.

NTRA · Healthcare · $37.9B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · No moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

34/ 100
No moat

The four filters

Pricing power62

Median gross margin 36.7% over 3y, very stable.

Returns on capital0

Median ROIC -49.0%, above the 9% hurdle in 0% of years.

Balance-sheet safety55

Net cash position — no leverage risk.

Capital discipline24

Owner earnings trend unclear, share count growing (dilution).

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale
No price data
Owner earnings (normalized)
Est. intrinsic value / share
Recent price
$271.39
Discount to value
No price data

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

14 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $55.2M (FY2013) to $2.3B (FY2025) — about 36.5% a year compounded over 12 years.

It earned −34.2% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of −44.9% across 11 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 0/100.

The balance sheet carried $80.3M of total debt in FY2025. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 55/100.

The share count rose 1930.7% between FY2014 and FY2025 — existing owners have been diluted over the record. Capital Discipline scores it 24/100.

Put together: Pricing Power is the strongest of the four filters (62/100) and Returns on Capital the weakest (0/100), which is how NTRA lands at 34/100 — a None moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2012–FY2025 · 14 fiscal years, normalized from NTRA’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$2.3B FY2025
$0$1B$2B2012201720222025
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods38.6% FY2018
0%20%40%2012201720222025
Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed−34.2% FY2025
−200%−100%0%2012201720222025
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out−$208.2M FY2025
−$400M−$200M$02012201720222025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in NTRA’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

3 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale34.4 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026

Score history begins Jul 17, 2026 — the record builds from here and can’t be backfilled.

Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

None yet — NTRA has read No moat for every logged capture since Jul 17, 2026.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Healthcare context

#313 of 440 scored Healthcare companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #311TXMD TherapeuticsMD, Inc.34.4 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  2. #312LNSR LENSAR, Inc.34.4 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  3. #314SIGY SIGYN THERAPEUTICS, INC.34.3 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  4. #315MLAB MESA LABORATORIES, INC.34.2 out of 100, No moatNo moat

Compare NTRA with its nearest peersAll Healthcare companies on the Index →

Common questions about NTRA

Does NATERA, INC. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores NATERA, INC. (NTRA) 34.4 out of 100 — below the Shallow-moat bar, so no moat. The four filters behind that score (each 0–100): pricing power 62, returns on capital 0, balance-sheet safety 55, capital discipline 24.
How has NTRA's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 3 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 34.4 out of 100 (no moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.
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NATERA, INC. (NTRA) Moat Score — The Moat Index · Buy Like Buffett