STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC.
SWK · Industrials · $13.6B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·
Doesn't clear the bar
The five investor questions
2008–2025: revenue 4426200000.00 to 15130400000.00, increasing; diluted EPS 3.84 to 2.65, decreasing. Latest-filed diluted EPS remains usable for Business Trend, but an integer share-count change lacks enough evidence to confirm a comparable EPS basis; valuation growth therefore stays at 0%.
Median gross margin 33.9% over 10y, stable.
Median ROIC 14.3%, above the 12% hurdle in 80% of years.
Insufficient leverage/coverage inputs to score the balance sheet.
Owner earnings -7.4%/yr, share count growing (dilution).
The balanceSheet component abstained: Insufficient leverage/coverage inputs to score the balance sheet. The other four 20% weights were renormalized over the scored 80%.
Price vs. owner-earnings value range
- Owner earnings (normalized)
- $484.2M
- Value range / share
- $34.70–$34.70
- Conservative high estimate / share
- $34.70
- Recent price
- $87.50
- Price vs. high estimate
- 152% above high estimate
Conservative range under moat-index@2.0.0: low end 11.1×, high end capped at 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.
19 years of fundamentals
The business, in plain English
STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. booked $15.1B of revenue in FY2025 in the Industrials sector and kept 30.3% of it as gross profit — a moderate-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 2.7% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.
Across the filed record, revenue grew from $4.4B (FY2008) to $15.1B (FY2025) — about 7.5% a year compounded over 17 years.
It earned 15.0% on invested capital in FY2020, with a median of 13.8% across 12 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 68/100.
The balance sheet carried $5.9B of total debt in FY2025 against $484.2M of owner earnings — roughly 12.1 years of owner earnings to retire it all.
The share count rose 96.6% between FY2008 and FY2025 — existing owners have been diluted over the record. Capital Discipline scores it 17/100.
This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.
Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in SWK’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.
Moat Score history
Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars
- Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0tomoat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026
Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.
Track record
How STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC.’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.
How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored SWK on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.
Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.
What followed, in the years it rated Wide
In the reconstructed history shown, SWK did not rate Wide-moat in any year, so there is no wide-moat track record to report. That absence is itself the honest answer — we don’t manufacture a comparison where the rating never earned one.
Industrials context
#180 of 423 scored Industrials companies, ranked by Moat Score.
Nearest peers by Moat Score
- #178AXON Axon Enterprise, Inc.48.2 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
- #179ALGT ALLEGIANT TRAVEL COMPANY48.2 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
- #181XPO XPO, Inc.48.0 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
- #182BWEN BROADWIND, INC.47.9 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
Compare SWK with its nearest peers →All Industrials companies on the Index →
Common questions about SWK
- Does STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. have an economic moat?
- Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores STANLEY BLACK & DECKER, INC. (SWK) 48.0 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 60, pricing power 47, returns on capital 68, balance-sheet safety not measurable from the filings, capital discipline 17.
- Is SWK trading below the conservative owner-earnings estimate?
- The owner-earnings value range is $34.70–$34.70 per share. It capitalizes normalized owner earnings at a 9% rate; the low end assumes 0% growth and the high end uses 0% growth, capped at 4% and 18×. Versus a recent price of $87.50, that is 152% above high estimate relative to the high estimate. This is a conservative educational estimate from primary SEC filings, not intrinsic value as a fact or investment advice.
- How has SWK's Moat Score changed over time?
- The record logs 9 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 48.0 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. (A methodology upgrade on Jul 20, 2026 re-based the score; readings across engine versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.