The Moat Index

TARGET CORPORATION

TGT · Consumer Discretionary · $62.8B mkt cap · FY2026 filings · Narrow moat

On the watchlist

62/ 100
Narrow moat

The four filters

Pricing power49

Median gross margin 28.8% over 10y, very stable.

Returns on capital86

Median ROIC 16.7%, above the 9% hurdle in 100% of years.

Balance-sheet safety60

Net debt/EBITDA 1.3x, interest coverage 11x.

Capital discipline46

Owner earnings -3.2%/yr, share count shrinking (buybacks).

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale
37% above value
Owner earnings (normalized)
$4.1B
Est. intrinsic value / share
$101.53
Recent price
$138.75
Discount to value
37% above value

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

Moat Score history

Score history begins 2026-07-17. Check back as the record builds.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can't be backfilled, which is exactly why it's worth keeping.

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TARGET CORPORATION (TGT) Moat Score — The Moat Index · Buy Like Buffett