Toll Brothers, Inc.
TOL · Industrials · $14.3B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Narrow moat
Wonderful & reasonably priced
The four filters
Pricing power33
Median gross margin 22.5% over 9y, stable.
Returns on capital88
Median ROIC 18.0%, above the 9% hurdle in 90% of years.
Balance-sheet safety100
Net cash position — no leverage risk.
Capital discipline100
Owner earnings +15.0%/yr, share count shrinking (buybacks).
Margin of safety
Above valueOn sale
- Owner earnings (normalized)
- $1.3B
- Est. intrinsic value / share
- $255.66
- Recent price
- $151.25
- Discount to value
- 41% below value
Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 4% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).
Moat Score history
Score history begins 2026-07-17. Check back as the record builds.
Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can't be backfilled, which is exactly why it's worth keeping.