The Moat Index

Toll Brothers, Inc.

TOL · Industrials · $14.3B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Narrow moat

Wonderful & reasonably priced

76/ 100
Narrow moat

The four filters

Pricing power33

Median gross margin 22.5% over 9y, stable.

Returns on capital88

Median ROIC 18.0%, above the 9% hurdle in 90% of years.

Balance-sheet safety100

Net cash position — no leverage risk.

Capital discipline100

Owner earnings +15.0%/yr, share count shrinking (buybacks).

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale
41% below value
Owner earnings (normalized)
$1.3B
Est. intrinsic value / share
$255.66
Recent price
$151.25
Discount to value
41% below value

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 4% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

Moat Score history

Score history begins 2026-07-17. Check back as the record builds.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can't be backfilled, which is exactly why it's worth keeping.

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Toll Brothers, Inc. (TOL) Moat Score — The Moat Index · Buy Like Buffett