SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED

VAI · Consumer Discretionary · $9.8M mkt cap · FY2026 filings · · No moat ·

Price verdict withheld — value if growth stopped today unreliable

No moat
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The five investor questions

15

2022–2026 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $4.9M to $1.5M, decreasing; diluted EPS -0.10 to -1.97, decreasing. Latest-filed diluted EPS remains usable for Business Trend, but an integer share-count change lacks enough evidence to confirm a comparable EPS basis; valuation growth therefore stays at 0%.

7

Median gross margin 19.3% over 9y, variable.

0

Median ROIC -224.5%, above the 12% hurdle in 0% of years.

55

Net cash position — no leverage risk.

44

Owner earnings changed trend unclear over up to the ten most recent annual observations, share count n/a.

Price vs. value if growth stopped today

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above value if growth stopped todayBelow value if growth stopped today
No price data
Not reported
Unavailable — insufficient owner-earnings data
Unavailable — insufficient growth-model data
$2.14
No price data

This zero-growth estimate assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. VAI revenue fell in each of the three most recent year-over-year FY comparisons, so this estimate is flagged as unreliable for this company.

Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 227% above the zero-growth estimate across 49 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Sep 19, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, IBEX, META, MEDP, MSFT, GOOG, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, VEEV, RMD, GRMN, PCTY, EAT, UI, SSD, MNST, DOCS, LRCX, MCO, CPRT, NTAP, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, ROL, CTAS, PAYC, IRMD, DECK, MORN, INTU, JKHY, TPR, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, LOPE

Missing a usable price or zero-growth estimate: ANF.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth multiple 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

10 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED booked $1.5M of revenue in FY2026 in the Consumer Discretionary sector and kept 13.6% of it as gross profit — a thin-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, −340.9% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $494897 (FY2018) to $1.5M (FY2026) — about 15.3% a year compounded over 8 years.

ROIC is not available for the latest filed year, FY2026. Across the full 7-year measurable filed record, median ROIC was −224.5%. Over the v3 recent window (7 measurable filed years), median ROIC was −224.5%. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 0/100.

VAI's latest filed year, FY2026, doesn't disclose total debt in a form the methodology can use, so current leverage is treated as unmeasured — never assumed to be zero.

Put together: Balance-Sheet Safety is the strongest of the five filters (55/100) and Returns on Capital the weakest (0/100), which is how VAI lands at 24/100 — a None moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2017–FY2026 · 10 fiscal years, normalized from VAI’s SEC filings

Sales, as filed$1.5M FY2026
$0$10M2017202020232026
Revenue kept after cost of goods13.6% FY2026
0%100%2017202020232026
Standard ROIC or separately labeled Operating ROIC

Exact FY and FY-1 financing invested-capital inputs are required.

Exact FY and FY-1 financing invested-capital inputs are required.

Cash an owner could take out−$5.3M FY2026
−$10M−$5M$02017202020232026

The explained ROIC gaps have filed inputs but no meaningful positive invested-capital denominator. Other gaps mean the item is not in the filings for that year. The series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Flagship explainer

How SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED makes its money

SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED's filing does not supply enough comparable lines for a truthful flow chart — here's what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of revenueSource
$1.5M100%
Cost of revenue$1.3M86%
$21020014%
−$2.9M−187%
Income before tax−$5.3M−341%
−$5.3M−341%
Source: · event Mar 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 19, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

What SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED owns — and owes

SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED's filing tags don't support a full breakdown — here's what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of assetsSource
Total assets$5.3M100%
Cash and equivalents$3.6M68%
Stockholders’ equity−$5.8M−111%
Source: · event Mar 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 19, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

What drives SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED’s return on equity?

ROE is five filed business factors multiplied together.

DuPont return on equity factor treeReturn on equity branches into tax burden, interest burden, operating margin, asset turnover, and the equity multiplier.Return on equity121%Tax burden100%net income ÷ pretax incomeInterest burden182%pretax ÷ operating incomeOperating margin−187%operating income ÷ revenueAsset turnover0.28×revenue ÷ average assetsEquity multiplier-1.27×average assets ÷ average equityAs of 2026-03-31 · 2 SEC filing sourcesBuy Like Buffett · buylikebuffett.com
DuPont source inputs
InputValueFiscal yearSource
−$5.3MFY2026
Income before tax−$5.3MFY2026
Operating income−$2.9MFY2026
$1.5MFY2026
Ending assets$5.3MFY2026
Beginning assets$5.8MFY2025
−$5.8MFY2026
−$2.9MFY2025
Source: · event Mar 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 19, 2026 · annual-row source set
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Flagship explainer

Where SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED's cash went

SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED’s filing does not supply enough provenance-matched cash-flow lines for a truthful flow chart — here’s what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of cash from operationsSource
Cash from operations−$1.6M−100%
Depreciation and amortization$88113055%
Source: · event Mar 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 19, 2026 · annual-row source set

Curated 19-manager tier

Who reported holding SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED

Delayed public 13F reports for 2026-Q2—not live positions, trades, or recommendations.

0 holding0 exited0 not holding0/19 resolved19 not retrieved

Named manager positions and quarter-over-quarter changes
ManagerReported positionQuarter-over-quarterFiling accession
Abrams CapitalNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Akre CapitalNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Baupost GroupNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Berkshire HathawayNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Brave Warrior AdvisorsNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Dodge & CoxNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
First EagleNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
FundsmithNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Gardner Russo & QuinnNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Gates Foundation TrustNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Mairs & PowerNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Markel / Markel-GaynerNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Oakmark / Harris AssociatesNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Pershing SquareNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Polen CapitalNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Sequoia / Ruane CunniffNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Southeastern Asset ManagementNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Tweedy, BrowneNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Yacktman Asset ManagementNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved

Position size uses shares and filed value from each manager’s 13F. Portfolio weight uses the eligible long-share filing denominator. Changes compare only with the immediately preceding calendar quarter.

Source: Filing source not retrieved · event Jun 30, 2026 · retrieved Sep 19, 2026

Flagship explainer

What SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED insiders reported

The complete Form 4 source snapshot retrieved on Sep 19, 2026 contains no transaction rows.

Verified empty: the retrieved source snapshot contains no transaction event.

Source snapshot retrieved 2026-09-19T07:00:02.813Z · SEC Form 4

Moat Score history

1 logged reading since Sep 19, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale24.1 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatSep 19, 2026

Score history begins Sep 19, 2026 — the record builds forward from here.

Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

None yet — VAI has read No moat for every logged capture since Sep 19, 2026.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Insider activity

Form 4 reports mix P/S market or private transactions with compensation-plan mechanics. Activity casually described as “insider selling” can include compensation mechanics; awards, tax withholding, and option exercises are shown by their exact filed class here, never collapsed into “Bought” or “Sold.”

These are disclosed filing facts and arithmetic aggregates, not a signal or verdict.

This machine-readable surface covers SEC ownership filings from 2003; it does not represent earlier paper-era records.

No reported Form 4 transactions were found in the complete checked issuer window for VAI, . The totals and cluster result below are arithmetic over that certified window.

$0
P purchases minus S sales only, Sep 20, 2025Sep 20, 2026.
0 P / 0 S
Only P and S are included; awards, gifts, exercises, withholding, and other mechanics are excluded.
No
Requires at least 3 distinct insiders with P purchases.

Transaction-code histogram

Supporting event counts for the same certified window, Sep 20, 2025Sep 20, 2026.

P
0
S
0
A
0
F
0
M
0
G
0
C
0
J
0
W
0

Retrieved .

Consumer Discretionary context

#447 of 486 scored Consumer Discretionary companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #445HLEO HELIO CORPORATION24.4 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  2. #446RIVN Rivian Automotive, Inc. / DE24.3 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  3. #448ADNT Adient plc24.0 out of 100, No moatNo moat
  4. #449ARMK Aramark23.8 out of 100, No moatNo moat

Compare VAI with its nearest peersAll Consumer Discretionary companies on the Index →

Common questions about VAI

Does SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2026 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores SENMIAO TECHNOLOGY LIMITED (VAI) 24.1 out of 100 — below the Shallow-moat bar, so no moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 15, pricing power 7, returns on capital 0, balance-sheet safety 55, capital allocation 44.
How has VAI's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 1 reading since Sep 19, 2026; the latest reads 24.1 out of 100 (no moat). No tier changes on record yet. The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.