CELANESE CORPORATION

CE · Materials · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

Shallow moat
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The five investor questions

Revenue & EPS trend41

2021–2025 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $8.5B to $9.5B, increasing; diluted EPS 16.86 to -10.64, decreasing.

Pricing power35

Median gross margin 24.6% over 10y, stable.

Returns on capital38

Median ROIC 10.4%, above the 12% hurdle in 40% of years.

Balance-sheet safety28

Net debt/EBITDA n/ax, interest coverage -1x.

Capital discipline64

Owner earnings trend unclear.

Price vs. conservative owner-earnings floor

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above owner-earnings floorBelow owner-earnings floor
No price data
Owner earnings (normalized)
$1.9B
Owner-earnings floor / share
Unavailable — insufficient owner-earnings data
Capped-growth comparison / share
Unavailable — insufficient growth-model data
Recent price
$46.43
Price vs. owner-earnings floor
No price data

This floor assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. The recent FY revenue series does not trigger the three-consecutive-declines flag.

Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 239% above the floor across 48 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Jul 26, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, META, MEDP, IBEX, MSFT, GOOGL, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, VEEV, GRMN, SSD, MNST, DOCS, MCO, CPRT, NTAP, LRCX, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, RMD, ROL, PAYC, IRMD, INTU, DECK, MORN, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, CTAS, LOPE, MRK, CMG, FAST, BKNG, ORLY

Missing a usable price or floor: ANF, BKNG.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth floor 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

20 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

CELANESE CORPORATION booked $9.5B of revenue in FY2025 in the Materials sector and kept 20.5% of it as gross profit — a moderate-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, −12.2% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $6.4B (FY2007) to $9.5B (FY2025) — about 2.2% a year compounded over 18 years.

It earned −4.0% on invested capital in the latest filed year, FY2025. Across the full 17-year measurable filed record, median ROIC was 10.6%. Over the v3 recent window (10 measurable filed years), median ROIC was 10.4%. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 38/100.

The balance sheet carried $12.7B of total debt in FY2025. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 28/100.

Put together: Capital Discipline is the strongest of the five filters (64/100) and Balance-Sheet Safety the weakest (28/100), which is how CE lands at 41/100 — a Shallow moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2006–FY2025 · 20 fiscal years, normalized from CE’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$9.5B FY2025
$0$5B$10B2006201320202025
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods20.5% FY2025
0%20%2006201320202025
Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed−4.0% FY2025
0%100%200%2006201320202025
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out−$748M FY2025
$0$2B2006201320202025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in CE’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

16 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale40.9 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026Jul 26, 2026

Breaks in the line mark methodology or normalizer upgrades — readings across versions aren’t compared, so a level shift there isn’t a change in the business.

Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)tomoat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
  2. Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0tomoat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
  3. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0tomoat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Track record

How CELANESE CORPORATION’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.

As-of scores 20112025, one methodology version · reconstructed from filings on file each Dec 31 — never with hindsight

As-of Moat Score (dot colored by tier)Indexed price (total-return (dividends reinvested))Rated Wide-moat that year

How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored CE on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.

0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatAs-of Moat Score100200Indexed price · log scale (2012 = 100)201120142017202020232026

Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.

What followed, in the years it rated Wide

In the reconstructed history shown, CE did not rate Wide-moat in any year, so there is no wide-moat track record to report. That absence is itself the honest answer — we don’t manufacture a comparison where the rating never earned one.

Materials context

#145 of 309 scored Materials companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #143LYB LYONDELLBASELL INDUSTRIES N.V.41.0 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  2. #144HXL HEXCEL CORP /DE/40.9 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  3. #146RNGR RANGER ENERGY SERVICES, INC.40.9 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  4. #147PUBC PUREBASE CORPORATION40.6 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat

Compare CE with its nearest peersAll Materials companies on the Index →

Common questions about CE

Does CELANESE CORPORATION have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores CELANESE CORPORATION (CE) 40.9 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 41, pricing power 35, returns on capital 38, balance-sheet safety 28, capital discipline 64.
How has CE's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 16 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 40.9 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.