COMFORT SYSTEMS USA, INC.

FIX · Industrials · $61.0B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Narrow moat ·

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Narrow moat
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The five investor questions

Revenue & EPS trend100

2021–2025 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $3.1B to $9.1B, increasing; diluted EPS 3.93 to 28.88, increasing.

Pricing power31

Median gross margin 19.8% over 10y, stable.

Returns on capital100

Median ROIC 20.2%, above the 12% hurdle in 100% of years.

Balance-sheet safety73

Net debt/EBITDA n/ax, interest coverage 146x.

Capital discipline91

Owner earnings +35.2%/yr, share count shrinking (buybacks).

Price vs. conservative owner-earnings floor

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above owner-earnings floorBelow owner-earnings floor
1597% above owner-earnings floor
Owner earnings (normalized)
$323M
Owner-earnings floor / share
$102.15
Capped-growth comparison / share
$165.48
Recent price
$1733.60
Price vs. owner-earnings floor
1597% above owner-earnings floor

What today’s price assumes: owner earnings growing ~76%/yr over 5 years. The floor assumes owner earnings stay flat (0% growth).

How to read this

We solve for the constant annual change in owner earnings that would make the five-year floor equal today’s price. This keeps the existing model inputs and calculation unchanged; it is an expectations lens, not a forecast.

This floor assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. The recent FY revenue series does not trigger the three-consecutive-declines flag.

Cohort context: median current price is 239% above the floor across 48 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Jul 26, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, META, MEDP, IBEX, MSFT, GOOGL, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, VEEV, GRMN, SSD, MNST, DOCS, MCO, CPRT, NTAP, LRCX, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, RMD, ROL, PAYC, IRMD, INTU, DECK, MORN, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, CTAS, LOPE, MRK, CMG, FAST, BKNG, ORLY

Missing a usable price or floor: ANF, BKNG.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth floor 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 4% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

18 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

COMFORT SYSTEMS USA, INC. booked $9.1B of revenue in FY2025 in the Industrials sector and kept 24.1% of it as gross profit — a moderate-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 11.2% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $1.1B (FY2009) to $9.1B (FY2025) — about 13.9% a year compounded over 16 years.

It earned 70.8% on invested capital in the latest filed year, FY2025. Across the full 17-year measurable filed record, median ROIC was 17.0%. Over the v3 recent window (10 measurable filed years), median ROIC was 20.2%. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 100/100.

FIX's latest filed year, FY2025, doesn't disclose total debt in a form the methodology can use, so current leverage is treated as unmeasured — never assumed to be zero.

Put together: Business Trend is the strongest of the five filters (100/100) and Pricing Power the weakest (31/100), which is how FIX lands at 79/100 — a Narrow moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2008–FY2025 · 18 fiscal years, normalized from FIX’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$9.1B FY2025
$0$5B2008201420202025
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods24.1% FY2025
0%10%20%2008201420202025
Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed70.8% FY2025
0%50%2008201420202025
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$1.0B FY2025
$0$500M$1B2008201420202025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in FIX’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

16 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale78.9 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026Jul 26, 2026

Breaks in the line mark methodology or normalizer upgrades — readings across versions aren’t compared, so a level shift there isn’t a change in the business.

Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)tomoat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
  2. Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0tomoat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
  3. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0tomoat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Track record

How COMFORT SYSTEMS USA, INC.’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.

As-of scores 20112025, one methodology version · reconstructed from filings on file each Dec 31 — never with hindsight

As-of Moat Score (dot colored by tier)Indexed price (total-return (dividends reinvested))Rated Wide-moat that year

How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored FIX on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.

0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatAs-of Moat Score1002005001,0002,0005,00010,000Indexed price · log scale (2012 = 100)201120142017202020232026

Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.

What followed, in the years it rated Wide

In the reconstructed history shown, FIX did not rate Wide-moat in any year, so there is no wide-moat track record to report. That absence is itself the honest answer — we don’t manufacture a comparison where the rating never earned one.

Industrials context

#21 of 428 scored Industrials companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #19EACO EACO CORPORATION79.4 out of 100, Narrow moatNarrow moat
  2. #20CLMB CLIMB GLOBAL SOLUTIONS, INC.79.3 out of 100, Narrow moatNarrow moat
  3. #22IBP Installed Building Products, Inc.78.9 out of 100, Narrow moatNarrow moat
  4. #23ACMR ACM Research, Inc.78.9 out of 100, Narrow moatNarrow moat

Compare FIX with its nearest peersAll Industrials companies on the Index →

Common questions about FIX

Does COMFORT SYSTEMS USA, INC. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores COMFORT SYSTEMS USA, INC. (FIX) 78.9 out of 100 — a Narrow moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 100, pricing power 31, returns on capital 100, balance-sheet safety 73, capital discipline 91.
Is FIX trading below the conservative owner-earnings estimate?
The conservative owner-earnings floor is $102.15 per share. It capitalizes normalized owner earnings at a 9% rate and assumes 0% growth. Versus a recent price of $1733.60, that is 1597% above owner-earnings floor. The model also publishes a capped-growth comparison, but the floor is the cautious baseline. It assumes trailing owner earnings persist and is unreliable for declining businesses. This is an educational estimate from primary SEC filings, not intrinsic value as a fact or investment advice.
How has FIX's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 16 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 78.9 out of 100 (narrow moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.