The Moat Index

AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC

AEO · Consumer Discretionary · $2.9B mkt cap · FY2026 filings · Narrow moat

On the watchlist

76/ 100
Narrow moat

The four filters

Pricing power59

Median gross margin 36.7% over 10y, very stable.

Returns on capital97

Median ROIC 21.2%, above the 9% hurdle in 90% of years.

Balance-sheet safety100

Net cash position — no leverage risk.

Capital discipline48

Owner earnings -1.1%/yr, share count shrinking (buybacks).

Margin of safety

Above valueOn sale
12% above value
Owner earnings (normalized)
$230.8M
Est. intrinsic value / share
$15.18
Recent price
$16.99
Discount to value
12% above value

Conservative model: 9% discount rate, 0% assumed growth (capped at 4%), maintenance capex ≈ min(capex, D&A).

Moat Score history

Score history begins 2026-07-17. Check back as the record builds.

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can't be backfilled, which is exactly why it's worth keeping.

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AMERICAN EAGLE OUTFITTERS INC (AEO) Moat Score — The Moat Index · Buy Like Buffett