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AEMETIS, INC

AMTX · Materials · $121M mkt cap · FY2025 filings · · No moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

No moat
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The five investor questions

27

2021–2025 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $212M to $198M, decreasing; diluted EPS -1.54 to -1.28, increasing.

0

Median gross margin 2.7% over 10y, variable.

0

Median ROIC -42.0%, above the 12% hurdle in 0% of years.

28

Net debt/EBITDA n/ax, interest coverage -1x.

24

Owner earnings changed trend unclear over up to the ten most recent annual observations.

Price vs. value if growth stopped today

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above value if growth stopped todayBelow value if growth stopped today
No price data
Not reported
Unavailable — insufficient owner-earnings data
Unavailable — insufficient growth-model data
$1.83
No price data

This zero-growth estimate assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. The recent FY revenue series does not trigger the three-consecutive-declines flag.

Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 235% above the zero-growth estimate across 49 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Sep 7, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, META, MEDP, IBEX, MSFT, GOOG, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, VEEV, RMD, GRMN, PCTY, EAT, UI, SSD, MNST, DOCS, LRCX, MCO, CPRT, NTAP, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, ROL, CTAS, PAYC, IRMD, INTU, DECK, MORN, JKHY, TPR, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, LOPE

Missing a usable price or zero-growth estimate: ANF.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth multiple 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

17 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

AEMETIS, INC booked $198M of revenue in FY2025 in the Materials sector and kept −0.4% of it as gross profit — a thin-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, −39.0% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $8.1M (FY2010) to $198M (FY2025) — about 23.7% a year compounded over 15 years.

It earned −42.0% on invested capital in the latest filed year, FY2025. Across the full 6-year measurable filed record, median ROIC was −42.8%. Over the v3 recent window (5 measurable filed years), median ROIC was −42.0%. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 0/100.

The balance sheet carried $382M of total debt in FY2025. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 28/100.

Put together: Balance-Sheet Safety is the strongest of the five filters (28/100) and Pricing Power the weakest (0/100), which is how AMTX lands at 16/100 — a None moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2009–FY2025 · 17 fiscal years, normalized from AMTX’s SEC filings

Sales, as filed$198M FY2025
$0$100M$200M2009201520212025
Revenue kept after cost of goods−0.4% FY2025
0%10%2009201520212025
Standard ROIC or separately labeled Operating ROICStandard ROIC −41.8% FY2025

Exact FY and FY-1 financing invested-capital inputs are required.

−50%−25%0%2009201520212025
Cash an owner could take out−$77M FY2025
−$100M−$50M$02009201520212025

The explained ROIC gaps have filed inputs but no meaningful positive invested-capital denominator. Other gaps mean the item is not in the filings for that year. The series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Flagship explainer

How AEMETIS, INC makes its money

Start with a dollar of revenue and follow what the filing says remains.

revenueBranching filed flows with values and percentages directly labeled. Missing filing concepts are omitted rather than estimated.Revenue$198M · 100%Cost of revenue$209M · 106%Gross profit−$768000 · −0%Operating income−$37.2M · −19%Income before tax−$95.7M · −48%Income tax−$18.7M · −9%Net income−$77M · −39%As of 2025-12-31 · 1 SEC filing sourceBuy Like Buffett · buylikebuffett.com

Honest partial: the filing did not provide a normalized tag for Research and development, Selling, general and administrative; those components are omitted, not plugged.

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of revenueSource
$198M100%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Cost of revenue$209M106%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
−$768000−0%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
−$37.2M−19%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Income before tax−$95.7M−48%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Income tax−$18.7M−9%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
−$77M−39%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Source:
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
· event Dec 31, 2025 · retrieved Sep 7, 2026 · annual-row source set
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Flagship explainer

What AEMETIS, INC owns — and owes

AEMETIS, INC's filing tags don't support a full breakdown — here's what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of assetsSource
Total assets$260M100%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Cash and equivalents$4.9M2%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
$382M147%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Stockholders’ equity−$307M−118%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Source:
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
· event Dec 31, 2025 · retrieved Sep 7, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

What drives AEMETIS, INC’s return on equity?

ROE is five filed business factors multiplied together.

DuPont return on equity factor treeReturn on equity branches into tax burden, interest burden, operating margin, asset turnover, and the equity multiplier.Return on equity27%Tax burden80%net income ÷ pretax incomeInterest burden257%pretax ÷ operating incomeOperating margin−19%operating income ÷ revenueAsset turnover0.76×revenue ÷ average assetsEquity multiplier-0.91×average assets ÷ average equityAs of 2025-12-31 · 1 SEC filing sourceBuy Like Buffett · buylikebuffett.com
DuPont source inputs
InputValueFiscal yearSource
−$77MFY2025
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Income before tax−$95.7MFY2025
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Operating income−$37.2MFY2025
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
$198MFY2025
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Ending assets$260MFY2025
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Beginning assets$259MFY2024
  • 10-K · FY 2024Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
−$307MFY2025
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
−$264MFY2024
  • 10-K · FY 2024Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Source: · event Dec 31, 2025 · retrieved Sep 7, 2026 · annual-row source set
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Flagship explainer

Where AEMETIS, INC's cash went

AEMETIS, INC’s filing does not supply enough provenance-matched cash-flow lines for a truthful flow chart — here’s what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of cash from operationsSource
Cash from operations$3.3M100%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Depreciation and amortization$9.6M295%
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
Source:
  • 10-K · FY 2025Filing detailsAccession 0001437749-26-008289 · filed Mar 16, 2026
· event Dec 31, 2025 · retrieved Sep 7, 2026 · annual-row source set

Curated 19-manager tier

Who reported holding AEMETIS, INC

Delayed public 13F reports for 2026-Q2—not live positions, trades, or recommendations.

0 holding0 exited0 not holding0/19 resolved19 not retrieved

Named manager positions and quarter-over-quarter changes
ManagerReported positionQuarter-over-quarterFiling accession
Abrams CapitalNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Akre CapitalNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Baupost GroupNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Berkshire HathawayNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Brave Warrior AdvisorsNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Dodge & CoxNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
First EagleNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
FundsmithNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Gardner Russo & QuinnNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Gates Foundation TrustNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Mairs & PowerNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Markel / Markel-GaynerNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Oakmark / Harris AssociatesNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Pershing SquareNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Polen CapitalNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Sequoia / Ruane CunniffNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Southeastern Asset ManagementNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Tweedy, BrowneNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Yacktman Asset ManagementNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved

Position size uses shares and filed value from each manager’s 13F. Portfolio weight uses the eligible long-share filing denominator. Changes compare only with the immediately preceding calendar quarter.

Source: Filing source not retrieved · event Jun 30, 2026 · retrieved Sep 7, 2026

Flagship explainer

What AEMETIS, INC insiders reported

Records still being gathered — partial as of retrieval Sep 11, 2026.

Partial coverage: the incomplete Form 4 walk cannot establish no activity, an activity date, or zero counts.

Moat Score history

17 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale15.6 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026Sep 7, 2026

Breaks in the line mark methodology or normalizer upgrades — readings across versions aren’t compared, so a level shift there isn’t a change in the business.

Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)moat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
  2. Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0moat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
  3. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0moat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Insider activity

Form 4 reports mix P/S market or private transactions with compensation-plan mechanics. Activity casually described as “insider selling” can include compensation mechanics; awards, tax withholding, and option exercises are shown by their exact filed class here, never collapsed into “Bought” or “Sold.”

These are disclosed filing facts and arithmetic aggregates, not a signal or verdict.

This machine-readable surface covers SEC ownership filings from 2003; it does not represent earlier paper-era records.

Records still being gathered — partial as of retrieval Sep 11, 2026.

Trailing-12-month totals and the 90-day cluster result are withheld because this issuer walk is incomplete.

No reported Form 4 rows were captured for AMTX; the incomplete walk cannot establish zero activity, zero counts, or a negative cluster result.

A filing source-event date will appear when a Form 4 row is captured.

Retrieved .

Track record

How AEMETIS, INC’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.

Point-in-time scores 2012–2025, one methodology version · reconstructed from filings on file each Dec 31 — never with hindsight

Point-in-time Moat Score (dot colored by tier)Indexed price (total-return (dividends reinvested))Rated Wide-moat that year

How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored AMTX on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.

0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatPoint-in-time Moat Score102050100200Indexed price · log scale (2012 = 100)201220152018202120242026

Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.

What followed, in the years it rated Wide

In the reconstructed history shown, AMTX did not rate Wide-moat in any year, so there is no wide-moat track record to report. That absence is itself the honest answer — we don’t manufacture a comparison where the rating never earned one.

Materials context

#301 of 309 scored Materials companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #299MDU MDU RESOURCES GROUP INC16.5No moat
  2. #300OLN OLIN CORPORATION15.6No moat
  3. #302OKMN OKMIN RESOURCES INC.15.6No moat
  4. #303CLW CLEARWATER PAPER CORPORATION15.5No moat

Compare AMTX with its nearest peers →All Materials companies on the Index →

Common questions about AMTX

Does AEMETIS, INC have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores AEMETIS, INC (AMTX) 15.6 out of 100 — below the Shallow-moat bar, so no moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 27, pricing power 0, returns on capital 0, balance-sheet safety 28, capital allocation 24.
How has AMTX's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 17 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 15.6 out of 100 (no moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.

Scored from primary SEC filings via the public methodology. Educational only — not a recommendation to buy or sell AMTX. See the disclaimer.