BURLINGTON STORES, INC.

BURL · Consumer Discretionary · $16.6B mkt cap · FY2026 filings · · Wide moat ·

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Wide moat
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The five investor questions

81

2022–2026 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $9.3B to $11.5B, increasing; diluted EPS 6.00 to 9.51, increasing. Latest-filed diluted EPS remains usable for Business Trend, but an integer share-count change lacks enough evidence to confirm a comparable EPS basis; valuation growth therefore stays at 0%.

71

Median gross margin 41.7% over 10y, very stable.

Not enough years of ROIC data to score returns on capital.

72

Net debt/EBITDA 0.6x, interest coverage 12x.

100

Owner earnings changed +12.2%/yr over up to the ten most recent annual observations.

The returnsOnCapital component abstained: Not enough years of ROIC data to score returns on capital. The other four 20% weights were renormalized over the scored 80%.

Price vs. value if growth stopped today

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above value if growth stopped todayBelow value if growth stopped today
341% above value if growth stopped today
$340M
$60.17
$60.17
$265.33
341% above value if growth stopped today

What today’s price assumes: owner earnings growing ~35%/yr over 5 years. The zero-growth estimate assumes owner earnings stay flat (0% growth).

How to read this

We solve for the constant annual change in owner earnings that would make the five-year zero-growth estimate equal today’s price. This keeps the existing model inputs and calculation unchanged; it is an expectations lens, not a forecast.

This zero-growth estimate assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. The recent FY revenue series does not trigger the three-consecutive-declines flag.

Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 235% above the zero-growth estimate across 49 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Sep 7, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, META, MEDP, IBEX, MSFT, GOOG, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, VEEV, RMD, GRMN, PCTY, EAT, UI, SSD, MNST, DOCS, LRCX, MCO, CPRT, NTAP, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, ROL, CTAS, PAYC, IRMD, INTU, DECK, MORN, JKHY, TPR, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, LOPE

Missing a usable price or zero-growth estimate: ANF.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth multiple 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

16 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

BURLINGTON STORES, INC. booked $11.5B of revenue in FY2026 in the Consumer Discretionary sector and kept 43.8% of it as gross profit — a solid-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 5.3% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $3.9B (FY2012) to $11.5B (FY2026) — about 8.1% a year compounded over 14 years.

The balance sheet carried $2.1B of total debt in FY2026 against $610M of owner earnings — roughly 3.4 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 72/100.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2011–FY2026 · 16 fiscal years, normalized from BURL’s SEC filings

Sales, as filed$11.5B FY2026
$0$5B$10B2011201620212026
Revenue kept after cost of goods43.8% FY2026
0%20%40%2011201620212026
Standard ROIC or separately labeled Operating ROIC

Exact FY and FY-1 financing invested-capital inputs are required.. Current-year EBIT, tax expense, and non-zero pretax income are required for standard ROIC.

Exact FY and FY-1 financing invested-capital inputs are required.. Current-year EBIT, tax expense, and non-zero pretax income are required for standard ROIC.

Cash an owner could take out$610M FY2026
$0$500M2011201620212026

The explained ROIC gaps have filed inputs but no meaningful positive invested-capital denominator. Other gaps mean the item is not in the filings for that year. The series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Flagship explainer

How BURLINGTON STORES, INC. makes its money

BURLINGTON STORES, INC.'s filing does not supply enough comparable lines for a truthful flow chart — here's what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of revenueSource
$11.5B100%
Cost of revenue$6.5B56%
$5.1B44%
Income before tax$816M7%
Income tax$206M2%
$610M5%
Source: · event Jan 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 7, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

What BURLINGTON STORES, INC. owns — and owes

BURLINGTON STORES, INC.'s filing tags don't support a full breakdown — here's what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of assetsSource
Total assets$9.9B100%
Cash and equivalents$1.2B12%
$2.1B21%
Stockholders’ equity$1.8B18%
Source: · event Jan 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 7, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

What drives BURLINGTON STORES, INC.’s return on equity?

One or more filed inputs needed for the five-factor decomposition are unavailable.

DuPont source inputs
InputValueFiscal yearSource
Net income$610MFY2026
Income before tax$816MFY2026
Operating incomeUnavailableFY2026
Revenue$11.5BFY2026
Ending assets$9.9BFY2026
Beginning assets$8.8BFY2025
Ending equity$1.8BFY2026
Beginning equity$1.4BFY2025
Source: · event Jan 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 7, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

Where BURLINGTON STORES, INC.'s cash went

BURLINGTON STORES, INC.’s filing does not supply enough provenance-matched cash-flow lines for a truthful flow chart — here’s what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of cash from operationsSource
Cash from operations$1.2B100%
Depreciation and amortization$418M34%
Source: · event Jan 31, 2026 · retrieved Sep 7, 2026 · annual-row source set

Curated 19-manager tier

Who reported holding BURLINGTON STORES, INC.

Delayed public 13F reports for 2026-Q2—not live positions, trades, or recommendations.

0 holding0 exited0 not holding0/19 resolved19 not retrieved

Named manager positions and quarter-over-quarter changes
ManagerReported positionQuarter-over-quarterFiling accession
Abrams CapitalNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Akre CapitalNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Baupost GroupNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Berkshire HathawayNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Brave Warrior AdvisorsNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Dodge & CoxNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
First EagleNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
FundsmithNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Gardner Russo & QuinnNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Gates Foundation TrustNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Mairs & PowerNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Markel / Markel-GaynerNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Oakmark / Harris AssociatesNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Pershing SquareNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Polen CapitalNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Sequoia / Ruane CunniffNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Southeastern Asset ManagementNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Tweedy, BrowneNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved
Yacktman Asset ManagementNot retrievedComparison not retrievedFiling not retrieved

Position size uses shares and filed value from each manager’s 13F. Portfolio weight uses the eligible long-share filing denominator. Changes compare only with the immediately preceding calendar quarter.

Source: Filing source not retrieved · event Jun 30, 2026 · retrieved Sep 7, 2026

Flagship explainer

What BURLINGTON STORES, INC. insiders reported

We could not retrieve insider activity for this rendering; no zero-activity claim is shown.

Unavailable: Form 4 activity could not be retrieved for this rendering.

Moat Score history

18 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale81.0 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 26, 2026Sep 7, 2026

Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)tomoat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
  2. Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0tomoat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
  3. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0tomoat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Insider activity

Form 4 reports mix P/S market or private transactions with compensation-plan mechanics. Activity casually described as “insider selling” can include compensation mechanics; awards, tax withholding, and option exercises are shown by their exact filed class here, never collapsed into “Bought” or “Sold.”

These are disclosed filing facts and arithmetic aggregates, not a signal or verdict.

The insider-filing service is temporarily unavailable, so no partial or guessed answer is shown for BURL.

Track record

How BURLINGTON STORES, INC.’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.

Point-in-time scores 20132025, one methodology version · reconstructed from filings on file each Dec 31 — never with hindsight

Point-in-time Moat Score (dot colored by tier)Indexed price (total-return (dividends reinvested))Rated Wide-moat that year

How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored BURL on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.

0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatPoint-in-time Moat Score100Indexed price · log scale 2013201520172019202120232025

Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The indexed price path isn't available for this company yet; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.

What followed, in the years it rated Wide

In the reconstructed history shown, BURL did not rate Wide-moat in any year, so there is no wide-moat track record to report. That absence is itself the honest answer — we don’t manufacture a comparison where the rating never earned one.

Consumer Discretionary context

#38 of 486 scored Consumer Discretionary companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #36AZO AUTOZONE INC81.7 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat
  2. #37AMZN AMAZON COM INC81.4 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat
  3. #39NATH NATHAN'S FAMOUS, INC.80.7 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat
  4. #40RVLV REVOLVE GROUP, INC.80.7 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat

Compare BURL with its nearest peersAll Consumer Discretionary companies on the Index →

Common questions about BURL

Does BURLINGTON STORES, INC. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2026 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores BURLINGTON STORES, INC. (BURL) 81.0 out of 100 — a Wide moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 81, pricing power 71, returns on capital not measurable from the filings, balance-sheet safety 72, capital allocation 100.
Is BURL trading below the conservative owner-earnings estimate?
The value if growth stopped today — a zero-growth baseline — is $60.17 per share. It capitalizes normalized owner earnings at a 9% rate and assumes 0% growth. Versus a recent price of $265.33, that is 341% above value if growth stopped today. The model also publishes a capped-growth comparison, but the zero-growth estimate is the cautious baseline. It assumes trailing owner earnings persist and is unreliable for declining businesses. This is an educational estimate from primary SEC filings, not intrinsic value as a fact or investment advice.
How has BURL's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 18 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 81.0 out of 100 (wide moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.