MUSA · Consumer Discretionary · FY2025 filings · · not refreshed in 36 days · Narrow moat ·
Price verdict withheld — value if growth stopped today unreliable
2021–2025 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $17.4B to $19.4B, increasing; diluted EPS 14.92 to 24.10, increasing.
Median gross margin 83.7% over 2y, very stable.
Median ROIC 20.4%, above the 12% hurdle in 100% of years.
Net debt/EBITDA 2.2x, interest coverage 6x.
Owner earnings changed +8.7%/yr over up to the ten most recent annual observations, share count n/a.
A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.
This zero-growth estimate assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. MUSA revenue fell in each of the three most recent year-over-year FY comparisons, so this estimate is flagged as unreliable for this company.
Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 239% above the zero-growth estimate across 48 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.
Score records captured Jul 26, 2026.
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Missing a usable price or zero-growth estimate: ANF, BKNG.
Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth multiple 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 4% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.
Across the filed record, revenue grew from $18.9B (FY2011) to $19.4B (FY2025) — about 0.2% a year compounded over 14 years.
It earned 20.0% on invested capital in the latest filed year, FY2025. Across the full 15-year measurable filed record, median ROIC was 19.5%. Over the v3 recent window (10 measurable filed years), median ROIC was 20.4%. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 100/100.
The balance sheet carried $2.2B of total debt in FY2025 against $471M of owner earnings — roughly 4.6 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 36/100.
Put together: Pricing Power is the strongest of the five filters (100/100) and Balance-Sheet Safety the weakest (36/100), which is how MUSA lands at 74/100 — a Narrow moat.
This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.
Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in MUSA’s filings for that year. The series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.
Flagship explainer
MURPHY USA INC.'s filing does not supply enough comparable lines for a truthful flow chart — here's what is filed:
| Filed line | Value | % of revenue | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| $19.4B | 100% |
| |
| $719M | 4% |
| |
| Income before tax | $609M | 3% |
|
| Income tax | $139M | 1% |
|
| $471M | 2% |
|
Flagship explainer
MURPHY USA INC.'s filing tags don't support a full breakdown — here's what is filed:
| Filed line | Value | % of assets | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Total assets | $4.7B | 100% |
|
| Cash and equivalents | $28.9M | 1% |
|
| $2.2B | 46% |
| |
| Stockholders’ equity | $624M | 13% |
|
Flagship explainer
ROE is five filed business factors multiplied together.
| Input | Value | Fiscal year | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| $471M | FY2025 |
| |
| Income before tax | $609M | FY2025 |
|
| Operating income | $719M | FY2025 |
|
| $19.4B | FY2025 |
| |
| Ending assets | $4.7B | FY2025 |
|
| Beginning assets | $4.5B | FY2024 |
|
| $624M | FY2025 |
| |
| $840M | FY2024 |
|
Flagship explainer
MURPHY USA INC.’s filing does not supply enough provenance-matched cash-flow lines for a truthful flow chart — here’s what is filed:
| Filed line | Value | % of cash from operations | Source |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cash from operations | $814M | 100% |
|
| Depreciation and amortization | $277M | 34% |
|
Curated 19-manager tier
Delayed public 13F reports for 2026-Q2—not live positions, trades, or recommendations.
0 holding0 exited1 not holding1/19 resolved18 not retrieved
| Manager | Reported position | Quarter-over-quarter | Filing accession |
|---|---|---|---|
| Markel / Markel-Gayner | No position reported | No position reported |
|
| Abrams Capital | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Akre Capital | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Baupost Group | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Berkshire Hathaway | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Brave Warrior Advisors | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Dodge & Cox | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| First Eagle | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Fundsmith | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Gardner Russo & Quinn | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Gates Foundation Trust | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Mairs & Power | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Oakmark / Harris Associates | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Pershing Square | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Polen Capital | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Sequoia / Ruane Cunniff | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Southeastern Asset Management | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Tweedy, Browne | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
| Yacktman Asset Management | Not retrieved | Comparison not retrieved | Filing not retrieved |
Position size uses shares and filed value from each manager’s 13F. Portfolio weight uses the eligible long-share filing denominator. Changes compare only with the immediately preceding calendar quarter.
Flagship explainer
Records still being gathered — partial as of retrieval Sep 1, 2026.
Partial coverage: the incomplete Form 4 walk cannot establish no activity, an activity date, or zero counts.
Breaks in the line mark methodology or normalizer upgrades — readings across versions aren’t compared, so a level shift there isn’t a change in the business.
Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars
Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.
Form 4 reports mix P/S market or private transactions with compensation-plan mechanics. Activity casually described as “insider selling” can include compensation mechanics; awards, tax withholding, and option exercises are shown by their exact filed class here, never collapsed into “Bought” or “Sold.”
These are disclosed filing facts and arithmetic aggregates, not a signal or verdict.
This machine-readable surface covers SEC ownership filings from 2003; it does not represent earlier paper-era records.
Records still being gathered — partial as of retrieval Sep 1, 2026.
Among the rows shown, A/F/M acquisition, payment or withholding, and exercise or conversion rows outnumber S sale rows (4 versus 1). The filing codes alone do not establish that every such row arose from a compensation plan.
Trailing-12-month totals and the 90-day cluster result are withheld because this issuer walk is incomplete.
| Insider | Shares owned after | Date | Filing detail | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Turner RosemaryDirector | Open-market or private sale (S)Table I · Disposed · Common Stock | 966 | $571.88 | $552,436 | 449 | Aug 20, 2026 | 1 filed lot
|
| Turner RosemaryDirector | Exercise or conversion of derivative security (M)Table I · Acquired · Common Stock | 1,066 | —Exercise or conversion of derivative security (M) | — | See lot detail | Aug 17, 2026 | 2 filed lots
|
| Turner RosemaryDirector | Exercise or conversion of derivative security (M)Table II · Disposed · Restricted Stock Unit | 1,066.81 | —Exercise or conversion of derivative security (M) | — | See lot detail | Aug 17, 2026 | 2 filed lots
|
| Keyes James WDirector | Gift (G)Table I · Disposed · Common Stock | 2,000 | —Gift (G) | — | 13,366 | Aug 11, 2026 | 1 filed lot
|
Source-event as of . Retrieved .
How MURPHY USA INC.’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.
How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored MUSA on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.
Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.
In the 3 years MUSA rated Wide-moat (2023, 2024 and 2025), the median forward total return that followed — measured only after each year’s filings were public — was:
These are medians computed from the data, not a claim about any one year. The company figures are total returns (dividends reinvested); the S&P 500 is the price-only ^GSPC index, which excludes dividends and so understates the index — the gap flatters the company. A quality rating is not a return forecast, and past returns don’t predict future ones. Educational only, not investment advice.
#60 of 487 scored Consumer Discretionary companies, ranked by Moat Score.
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