Spero Therapeutics, Inc.

SPRO · Healthcare · $81.2M mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·

Doesn't clear the bar

Shallow moat
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The five investor questions

Revenue & EPS trend65

2021–2025: revenue 3070000.00 to 12586000.00, increasing; diluted EPS -2.91 to 0.15, increasing.

Pricing power

Not enough years of gross-margin data to score pricing power.

Returns on capital14

Median ROIC -41.5%, above the 12% hurdle in 40% of years.

Balance-sheet safety100

Net cash position — no leverage risk.

Capital discipline44

Owner earnings trend unclear, share count n/a.

The pricingPower component abstained: Not enough years of gross-margin data to score pricing power. The other four 20% weights were renormalized over the scored 80%.

Price vs. owner-earnings value range

Above estimateBelow estimate
No price data
Owner earnings (normalized)
Value range / share
Conservative high estimate / share
Recent price
$1.44
Price vs. high estimate
No price data

Conservative range under moat-index@2.0.0: low end 11.1×, high end capped at 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

12 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $335000 (FY2016) to $12.6M (FY2025) — about 49.6% a year compounded over 9 years.

It earned 32.7% on invested capital in FY2025, with a median of −41.5% across 5 filed years. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 14/100.

SPRO's filings don't disclose total debt in a form the methodology can use, so leverage is treated as unmeasured — never assumed to be zero.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2014–FY2025 · 12 fiscal years, normalized from SPRO’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$12.6M FY2025
$0$5M$10M2014201820222025
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods

Not disclosed in SPRO’s filings for these years — we don’t estimate it.

Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed32.7% FY2025
−100%0%2014201820222025
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$8.6M FY2025
−$50M$02014201820222025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in SPRO’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

8 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale55.7 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 20, 2026Jul 21, 2026

Tier changesSame-methodology crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0tomoat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record can’t be backfilled, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Track record

How Spero Therapeutics, Inc.’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.

As-of scores 20172025, one methodology version · reconstructed from filings on file each Dec 31 — never with hindsight

As-of Moat Score (dot colored by tier)Indexed price (total-return (dividends reinvested))Rated Wide-moat that year

How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored SPRO on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.

0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatAs-of Moat Score102050100Indexed price · log scale (2018 = 100)201720192021202320252026

Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.

What followed, in the years it rated Wide

In the reconstructed history shown, SPRO did not rate Wide-moat in any year, so there is no wide-moat track record to report. That absence is itself the honest answer — we don’t manufacture a comparison where the rating never earned one.

Healthcare context

#141 of 736 scored Healthcare companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #139ALKS Alkermes plc.55.7 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  2. #140JRSS JRSIS HEALTH CARE CORPORATION55.7 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  3. #142MMSI MERIT MEDICAL SYSTEMS INC55.6 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  4. #143AUPH Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Inc.55.4 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat

Compare SPRO with its nearest peersAll Healthcare companies on the Index →

Common questions about SPRO

Does Spero Therapeutics, Inc. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores Spero Therapeutics, Inc. (SPRO) 55.7 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 65, pricing power not measurable from the filings, returns on capital 14, balance-sheet safety 100, capital discipline 44.
How has SPRO's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 8 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 55.7 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. (A methodology upgrade on Jul 20, 2026 re-based the score; readings across engine versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.