Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.

DFIN · Technology · $1.2B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Shallow moat ·

Price verdict withheld — owner-earnings floor unreliable

Shallow moat
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The five investor questions

Revenue & EPS trend20

2021–2025 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $993M to $767M, decreasing; diluted EPS 4.14 to 1.15, decreasing.

Pricing power

Not enough years of gross-margin data to score pricing power.

Returns on capital72

Median ROIC 16.8%, above the 12% hurdle in 60% of years.

Balance-sheet safety67

Net debt/EBITDA 0.7x, interest coverage 11x.

Capital discipline40

Owner earnings -8.4%/yr.

The pricingPower component abstained: Not enough years of gross-margin data to score pricing power. The other four 20% weights were renormalized over the scored 80%.

Price vs. conservative owner-earnings floor

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above owner-earnings floorBelow owner-earnings floor
20% above owner-earnings floor
Owner earnings (normalized)
$92.4M
Owner-earnings floor / share
$40.10
Capped-growth comparison / share
$40.10
Recent price
$48.26
Price vs. owner-earnings floor
20% above owner-earnings floor

What today’s price assumes: owner earnings growing ~4%/yr over 5 years. The floor assumes owner earnings stay flat (0% growth).

How to read this

We solve for the constant annual change in owner earnings that would make the five-year floor equal today’s price. This keeps the existing model inputs and calculation unchanged; it is an expectations lens, not a forecast.

This floor assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. DFIN revenue fell in each of the three most recent year-over-year FY comparisons, so this floor is flagged as unreliable for this company.

Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 239% above the floor across 48 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Jul 26, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, META, MEDP, IBEX, MSFT, GOOGL, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, VEEV, GRMN, SSD, MNST, DOCS, MCO, CPRT, NTAP, LRCX, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, RMD, ROL, PAYC, IRMD, INTU, DECK, MORN, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, CTAS, LOPE, MRK, CMG, FAST, BKNG, ORLY

Missing a usable price or floor: ANF, BKNG.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth floor 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

13 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

Across the filed record, revenue shrank from $1.1B (FY2014) to $767M (FY2025) — about −3.1% a year compounded over 11 years.

It earned 20.2% on invested capital in the latest filed year, FY2025. Across the full 12-year measurable filed record, median ROIC was 17.8%. Over the v3 recent window (10 measurable filed years), median ROIC was 16.8%. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 72/100.

The balance sheet carried $171M of total debt in FY2025 against $34.6M of owner earnings — roughly 5.0 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 67/100.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2013–FY2025 · 13 fiscal years, normalized from DFIN’s SEC filings

RevenueSales, as filed$767M FY2025
$0$500M$1B2013201720212025
Gross marginRevenue kept after cost of goods

Not disclosed in DFIN’s filings for these years — we don’t estimate it.

Return on invested capitalOperating profit on the capital employed20.2% FY2025
0%20%2013201720212025
Owner earningsCash an owner could take out$34.6M FY2025
$0$100M2013201720212025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in DFIN’s filings for that year — the series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Moat Score history

16 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale49.9 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 20, 2026Jul 26, 2026

Breaks in the line mark methodology or normalizer upgrades — readings across versions aren’t compared, so a level shift there isn’t a change in the business.

Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)tomoat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
  2. Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0tomoat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
  3. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0tomoat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Track record

How Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc.’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.

As-of scores 20162025, one methodology version · reconstructed from filings on file each Dec 31 — never with hindsight

As-of Moat Score (dot colored by tier)Indexed price (total-return (dividends reinvested))Rated Wide-moat that year

How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored DFIN on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.

0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatAs-of Moat Score50100200Indexed price · log scale (2017 = 100)201620182020202220242026

Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.

What followed, in the years it rated Wide

In the reconstructed history shown, DFIN did not rate Wide-moat in any year, so there is no wide-moat track record to report. That absence is itself the honest answer — we don’t manufacture a comparison where the rating never earned one.

Technology context

#294 of 744 scored Technology companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #292AISP Airship AI Holdings, Inc.50.2 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  2. #293LAWIL LIGHT & WONDER, INC.50.0 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  3. #295NCMI NATIONAL CINEMEDIA, INC.49.8 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat
  4. #296KOAN Resonate Blends, Inc.49.7 out of 100, Shallow moatShallow moat

Compare DFIN with its nearest peersAll Technology companies on the Index →

Common questions about DFIN

Does Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores Donnelley Financial Solutions, Inc. (DFIN) 49.9 out of 100 — a Shallow moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 20, pricing power not measurable from the filings, returns on capital 72, balance-sheet safety 67, capital discipline 40.
Is DFIN trading below the conservative owner-earnings estimate?
The conservative owner-earnings floor is $40.10 per share. It capitalizes normalized owner earnings at a 9% rate and assumes 0% growth. Versus a recent price of $48.26, that is 20% above owner-earnings floor. The model also publishes a capped-growth comparison, but the floor is the cautious baseline. It assumes trailing owner earnings persist and is unreliable for declining businesses. This is an educational estimate from primary SEC filings, not intrinsic value as a fact or investment advice.
How has DFIN's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 16 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 49.9 out of 100 (shallow moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.