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Fair Isaac Corp

FICO · Technology · $29.4B mkt cap · FY2025 filings · Wide moat ·

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Wide moat
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The five investor questions

100

2021–2025 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $1.3B to $2.0B, increasing; diluted EPS 13.40 to 26.54, increasing.

96

Median gross margin 73.4% over 10y, very stable.

100

Median ROIC 53.5%, above the 12% hurdle in 100% of years.

40

Net debt/EBITDA n/ax, interest coverage 7x.

100

Owner earnings changed +20.9%/yr over up to the ten most recent annual observations.

Price vs. value if growth stopped today

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above value if growth stopped todayBelow value if growth stopped today
502% above value if growth stopped today
$440M
$205.62
$333.11
$1237.37
502% above value if growth stopped today

What today’s price assumes: owner earnings growing ~43%/yr over 5 years. The zero-growth estimate assumes owner earnings stay flat (0% growth).

How to read this

We solve for the constant annual change in owner earnings that would make the five-year zero-growth estimate equal today’s price. This keeps the existing model inputs and calculation unchanged; it is an expectations lens, not a forecast.

This zero-growth estimate assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. The recent FY revenue series does not trigger the three-consecutive-declines flag.

Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 239% above the zero-growth estimate across 48 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Jul 26, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, META, MEDP, IBEX, MSFT, GOOGL, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, VEEV, GRMN, SSD, MNST, DOCS, MCO, CPRT, NTAP, LRCX, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, RMD, ROL, PAYC, IRMD, INTU, DECK, MORN, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, CTAS, LOPE, MRK, CMG, FAST, BKNG, ORLY

Missing a usable price or zero-growth estimate: ANF, BKNG.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth multiple 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 4% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

19 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

Fair Isaac Corp booked $2.0B of revenue in FY2025 in the Technology sector and kept 82.2% of it as gross profit — a high-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 32.7% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $745M (FY2008) to $2.0B (FY2025) — about 6.0% a year compounded over 17 years.

ROIC is not available for the latest filed year, FY2025. Across the full 15-year measurable filed record, median ROIC was 31.7%. Over the v3 recent window (7 measurable filed years), median ROIC was 53.5%. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 100/100.

FICO's latest filed year, FY2025, doesn't disclose total debt in a form the methodology can use, so current leverage is treated as unmeasured — never assumed to be zero.

Put together: Business Trend is the strongest of the five filters (100/100) and Balance-Sheet Safety the weakest (40/100), which is how FICO lands at 87/100 — a Wide moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2007–FY2025 · 19 fiscal years, normalized from FICO’s SEC filings

Sales, as filed$2.0B FY2025
$0$1B$2B2007201320192025
Revenue kept after cost of goods82.2% FY2025
0%50%2007201320192025
Standard ROIC or separately labeled Operating ROICROIC 53.5% FY2024
0%100%2007201320192025
Cash an owner could take out$658M FY2025
$0$250M$500M2007201320192025

Gaps in a line mean that item isn’t in FICO’s filings for that year. The series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Flagship explainer

How Fair Isaac Corp makes its money

Start with a dollar of revenue and follow what the filing says remains.

revenueBranching filed flows with values and percentages directly labeled. Missing filing concepts are omitted rather than estimated.Revenue$2.0B · 100%Cost of revenue$354M · 18%Gross profit$1.6B · 82%Operating income$925M · 46%Income before tax$803M · 40%Income tax$151M · 8%Net income$652M · 33%As of 2025-09-30 · 1 SEC filing sourceBuy Like Buffett · buylikebuffett.com

Honest partial: the filing did not provide a normalized tag for Research and development, Selling, general and administrative; those components are omitted, not plugged.

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of revenueSource
$2.0B100%
Cost of revenue$354M18%
$1.6B82%
$925M46%
Income before tax$803M40%
Income tax$151M8%
$652M33%
Source: · event Sep 30, 2025 · retrieved Jul 26, 2026 · annual-row source set
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Flagship explainer

What Fair Isaac Corp owns — and owes

Fair Isaac Corp's filing tags don't support a full breakdown — here's what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of assetsSource
Total assets$1.9B100%
Cash and equivalents$134M7%
Stockholders’ equity−$1.7B−93%
Source: · event Sep 30, 2025 · retrieved Jul 26, 2026 · annual-row source set

Flagship explainer

What drives Fair Isaac Corp’s return on equity?

ROE is five filed business factors multiplied together.

DuPont return on equity factor treeReturn on equity branches into tax burden, interest burden, operating margin, asset turnover, and the equity multiplier.Return on equity−48%Tax burden81%net income ÷ pretax incomeInterest burden87%pretax ÷ operating incomeOperating margin46%operating income ÷ revenueAsset turnover1.11×revenue ÷ average assetsEquity multiplier-1.32×average assets ÷ average equityAs of 2025-09-30 · 2 SEC filing sourcesBuy Like Buffett · buylikebuffett.com
DuPont source inputs
InputValueFiscal yearSource
$652MFY2025
Income before tax$803MFY2025
Operating income$925MFY2025
$2.0BFY2025
Ending assets$1.9BFY2025
Beginning assets$1.7BFY2024
−$1.7BFY2025
−$963MFY2024
Source:
  • SEC filingFiling detailsAccession 0000814547-25-000030
  • SEC filingFiling detailsAccession 0001628280-24-045719
· event Sep 30, 2025 · retrieved Jul 26, 2026 · annual-row source set
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Flagship explainer

Where Fair Isaac Corp's cash went

Fair Isaac Corp’s filing does not supply enough provenance-matched cash-flow lines for a truthful flow chart — here’s what is filed:

Table alternative
Filed lineValue% of cash from operationsSource
Cash from operations$779M100%
Depreciation and amortization$15M2%
Source: · event Sep 30, 2025 · retrieved Jul 26, 2026 · annual-row source set

Curated 19-manager tier

Who reported holding Fair Isaac Corp

Delayed public 13F reports for 2026-Q2—not live positions, trades, or recommendations.

0 holding0 exited1 not holding1/19 resolved18 unavailable

Named manager positions and quarter-over-quarter changes
ManagerReported positionQuarter-over-quarterFiling accession
Markel / Markel-GaynerNo position reportedNo position reported
Abrams CapitalUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Akre CapitalUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Baupost GroupUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Berkshire HathawayUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Brave Warrior AdvisorsUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Dodge & CoxUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
First EagleUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
FundsmithUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Gardner Russo & QuinnUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Gates Foundation TrustUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Mairs & PowerUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Oakmark / Harris AssociatesUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Pershing SquareUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Polen CapitalUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Sequoia / Ruane CunniffUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Southeastern Asset ManagementUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Tweedy, BrowneUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable
Yacktman Asset ManagementUnavailableComparison unavailableFiling unavailable

Position size uses shares and filed value from each manager’s 13F. Portfolio weight uses the eligible long-share filing denominator. Changes compare only with the immediately preceding calendar quarter.

Source: · event Jun 30, 2026 · retrieved Jul 26, 2026

Flagship explainer

What Fair Isaac Corp insiders reported

Insider activity is unavailable from the source; no zero-activity claim is shown.

Unavailable: Form 4 activity could not be retrieved for this rendering.

Moat Score history

16 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale87.1 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026Jul 26, 2026

Breaks in the line mark methodology or normalizer upgrades — readings across versions aren’t compared, so a level shift there isn’t a change in the business.

Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)moat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
  2. Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0moat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
  3. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0moat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Insider activity

Form 4 reports mix P/S market or private transactions with compensation-plan mechanics. Activity casually described as “insider selling” can include compensation mechanics; awards, tax withholding, and option exercises are shown by their exact filed class here, never collapsed into “Bought” or “Sold.”

These are disclosed filing facts and arithmetic aggregates, not a signal or verdict.

The insider-filing service is temporarily unavailable, so no partial or guessed answer is shown for FICO.

Track record

How Fair Isaac Corp’s moat rated in each of the years we can reconstruct from its filings — scored only on what was knowable at the time — and what its price and returns did afterward. The score never saw a price; the two are joined only in hindsight, for education, not as a signal.

Point-in-time scores 2011–2025, one methodology version · reconstructed from filings on file each Dec 31 — never with hindsight

Point-in-time Moat Score (dot colored by tier)Indexed price (total-return (dividends reinvested))Rated Wide-moat that year

How to read this: each dot is what the engine would have scored FICO on that December 31; the line below is its total-return price path (dividends reinvested) in the years since.

0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatPoint-in-time Moat Score1002005001,0002,0005,000Indexed price · log scale (2012 = 100)201120142017202020232026

Two tracks, one timeline: the score has its own 0–100 scale (top), the price its own 100-based scale (bottom) — never a shared axis. The price path is a total-return (dividends reinvested) index built from the same data the forward returns use; gaps in the score line are years with no reconstructed rating (see the table for why). The Table view carries every value.

What followed, in the years it rated Wide

In the 5 years FICO rated Wide-moat (2020, 2021, 2023, 2024 and 2025), the median forward total return that followed — measured only after each year’s filings were public — was:

  • 1 year 11% vs the S&P 500’s 20% (price basis) · median over 4 years
  • 3 years 237% vs the S&P 500’s 25% (price basis) · median over 2 years
  • 5 years 225% vs the S&P 500’s 85% (price basis) · median over 1 year

These are medians computed from the data, not a claim about any one year. The company figures are total returns (dividends reinvested); the S&P 500 is the price-only ^GSPC index, which excludes dividends and so understates the index — the gap flatters the company. A quality rating is not a return forecast, and past returns don’t predict future ones. Educational only, not investment advice.

Technology context

#27 of 744 scored Technology companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #25UI UBIQUITI INC.87.7Wide moat
  2. #26ANET Arista Networks, Inc.87.4Wide moat
  3. #28AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC /DE87.0Wide moat
  4. #29ADP AUTOMATIC DATA PROCESSING INC87.0Wide moat

Compare FICO with its nearest peers →All Technology companies on the Index →

Common questions about FICO

Does Fair Isaac Corp have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2025 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores Fair Isaac Corp (FICO) 87.1 out of 100 — a Wide moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 100, pricing power 96, returns on capital 100, balance-sheet safety 40, capital allocation 100.
Is FICO trading below the conservative owner-earnings estimate?
The value if growth stopped today — a zero-growth baseline — is $205.62 per share. It capitalizes normalized owner earnings at a 9% rate and assumes 0% growth. Versus a recent price of $1237.37, that is 502% above value if growth stopped today. The model also publishes a capped-growth comparison, but the zero-growth estimate is the cautious baseline. It assumes trailing owner earnings persist and is unreliable for declining businesses. This is an educational estimate from primary SEC filings, not intrinsic value as a fact or investment advice.
How has FICO's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 16 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 87.1 out of 100 (wide moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.

Scored from primary SEC filings via the public methodology. Educational only — not a recommendation to buy or sell FICO. See the disclaimer.