AUTODESK, INC.

ADSK · Technology · $46.3B mkt cap · FY2026 filings · · Wide moat ·

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Wide moat
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The five investor questions

100

2022–2026 (latest 5 aligned FYs; v3 window cap 5): revenue $4.4B to $7.2B, increasing; diluted EPS 2.24 to 5.23, increasing.

100

Median gross margin 90.4% over 10y, very stable.

90

Median ROIC 33.2%, above the 12% hurdle in 70% of years.

97

Net debt/EBITDA 0.1x, interest coverage 20x.

52

Owner earnings changed trend unclear over up to the ten most recent annual observations.

Price vs. value if growth stopped today

A cautious baseline, not a price target: what the shares may support if normalized owner earnings simply hold steady.

Above value if growth stopped todayBelow value if growth stopped today
311% above value if growth stopped today
$1.0B
$53.14
$53.14
$218.62
311% above value if growth stopped today

What today’s price assumes: owner earnings growing ~33%/yr over 5 years. The zero-growth estimate assumes owner earnings stay flat (0% growth).

How to read this

We solve for the constant annual change in owner earnings that would make the five-year zero-growth estimate equal today’s price. This keeps the existing model inputs and calculation unchanged; it is an expectations lens, not a forecast.

This zero-growth estimate assumes trailing owner earnings persist — unreliable for declining businesses. The recent FY revenue series does not trigger the three-consecutive-declines flag.

Among the current top-score group, the median current price is 238% above the zero-growth estimate across 49 of the current top 50 companies by Moat Score with both values.

Score records captured Sep 4, 2026.

Exactly which 50 companies?

FTNT, META, MEDP, IBEX, MSFT, GOOG, LULU, ANF, IDXX, TXRH, FHI, QLYS, FFIV, ADBE, LLY, MANH, VEEV, RMD, GRMN, PCTY, EAT, UI, SSD, MNST, DOCS, LRCX, MCO, CPRT, NTAP, NVDA, CORT, SFM, MPTI, ULTA, SN, ROL, CTAS, PAYC, IRMD, INTU, DECK, MORN, JKHY, TPR, LGCY, DAL, GWW, ISRG, MPWR, LOPE

Missing a usable price or zero-growth estimate: ANF.

Model details under moat-index@3.0.0: zero-growth multiple 11.1×, capped-growth comparison at no more than 18×; 9% discount rate; high-end growth 0% (capped at 4%) using min(5y revenue CAGR, 5y diluted-EPS CAGR), clamped to 0%–4%; maintenance capex uses min(capex, D&A); abstain when D&A is unavailable. This is a disclosed model range, not intrinsic value as fact.

20 years of fundamentals

The business, in plain English

AUTODESK, INC. booked $7.2B of revenue in FY2026 in the Technology sector and kept 91.0% of it as gross profit — a high-margin business by that measure. After every other cost, 15.6% of each revenue dollar reached the bottom line.

Across the filed record, revenue grew from $2.2B (FY2008) to $7.2B (FY2026) — about 6.9% a year compounded over 18 years.

It earned 33.6% on invested capital in the latest filed year, FY2026. Across the full 19-year measurable filed record, median ROIC was 32.7%. Over the v3 recent window (10 measurable filed years), median ROIC was 33.2%. The Returns on Capital filter above scores it 90/100.

The balance sheet carried $2.5B of total debt in FY2026 against $1.3B of owner earnings — roughly 2.0 years of owner earnings to retire it all. Balance-Sheet Safety scores it 97/100.

Put together: Business Trend is the strongest of the five filters (100/100) and Capital Allocation the weakest (52/100), which is how ADSK lands at 88/100 — a Wide moat.

This breakdown is generated from the filed numbers and sub-scores above — no outside narrative, no estimates. Where a filing doesn’t disclose an input, the sentence that would need it is omitted instead of guessed.

FY2007–FY2026 · 20 fiscal years, normalized from ADSK’s SEC filings

Sales, as filed$7.2B FY2026
$0$5B2007201420212026
Revenue kept after cost of goods91.0% FY2026
0%50%2007201420212026
Standard ROIC or separately labeled Operating ROICStandard ROIC 33.4% FY2026

Exact FY and FY-1 financing invested-capital inputs are required.

−100%0%100%2007201420212026
Cash an owner could take out$1.3B FY2026
$0$1B2007201420212026

The explained ROIC gaps have filed inputs but no meaningful positive invested-capital denominator. Other gaps mean the item is not in the filings for that year. The series is never interpolated or estimated. The Table view lists every filed value, including operating and net margins, total debt, and share count.

Visual explainers

The filing-backed explainer service is temporarily unavailable, so no partial or guessed chart is shown.

Moat Score history

17 logged readings since Jul 17, 2026 · append-only, never rewritten

Moat Score over timeLast scored reading of each day, on the 0–100 scale87.7 / 100
0406080100WideNarrowShallowNo moatJul 17, 2026Sep 4, 2026

Breaks in the line mark methodology or normalizer upgrades — readings across versions aren’t compared, so a level shift there isn’t a change in the business.

Tier changesSame-methodology and same-normalizer crossings of the Wide / Narrow / Shallow bars

  1. Normalizer upgraded unstamped (version unknown)tomoat-xbrl-normalizer@1.1.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 26, 2026
  2. Methodology upgraded moat-index@2.0.0tomoat-index@3.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 23, 2026
  3. Methodology upgraded moat-index@1.2.0tomoat-index@2.0.0 — readings across versions aren’t comparedJul 20, 2026

Scores are logged append-only and never overwritten — this record cannot be reconstructed retroactively, which is exactly why it’s worth keeping.

Insider activity

Form 4 reports mix P/S market or private transactions with compensation-plan mechanics. Activity casually described as “insider selling” can include compensation mechanics; awards, tax withholding, and option exercises are shown by their exact filed class here, never collapsed into “Bought” or “Sold.”

These are disclosed filing facts and arithmetic aggregates, not a signal or verdict.

This machine-readable surface covers SEC ownership filings from 2003; it does not represent earlier paper-era records.

Records still being gathered — partial as of retrieval Sep 4, 2026.

278 filings were skipped because the SEC primary document returned 404; the omission is disclosed and aggregates are withheld.

Trailing-12-month totals and the 90-day cluster result are withheld because this issuer walk is incomplete.

No reported Form 4 rows were captured for ADSK; the incomplete walk cannot establish zero activity, zero counts, or a negative cluster result.

A filing source-event date will appear when a Form 4 row is captured.

Retrieved .

Technology context

#26 of 749 scored Technology companies, ranked by Moat Score.

Nearest peers by Moat Score

  1. #24MA Mastercard Incorporated88.5 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat
  2. #25TTD The Trade Desk, Inc.88.1 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat
  3. #27ANET Arista Networks, Inc.87.4 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat
  4. #28FICO FAIR ISAAC CORP87.1 out of 100, Wide moatWide moat

Compare ADSK with its nearest peersAll Technology companies on the Index →

Common questions about ADSK

Does AUTODESK, INC. have an economic moat?
Based on its FY2026 SEC filings, the Moat Index scores AUTODESK, INC. (ADSK) 87.7 out of 100 — a Wide moat. The five questions behind that score begin at 20% each; if exactly one genuinely lacks data, the other four weights are renormalized and disclosed. revenue and EPS trend 100, pricing power 100, returns on capital 90, balance-sheet safety 97, capital allocation 52.
Is ADSK trading below the conservative owner-earnings estimate?
The value if growth stopped today — a zero-growth baseline — is $53.14 per share. It capitalizes normalized owner earnings at a 9% rate and assumes 0% growth. Versus a recent price of $218.62, that is 311% above value if growth stopped today. The model also publishes a capped-growth comparison, but the zero-growth estimate is the cautious baseline. It assumes trailing owner earnings persist and is unreliable for declining businesses. This is an educational estimate from primary SEC filings, not intrinsic value as a fact or investment advice.
How has ADSK's Moat Score changed over time?
The record logs 17 readings since Jul 17, 2026; the latest reads 87.7 out of 100 (wide moat). No tier changes on record yet. (Methodology or normalizer upgrades on Jul 20, 2026, Jul 23, 2026, Jul 26, 2026 re-based the score; readings across versions aren't compared.) The history is append-only — readings are only ever added, never rewritten.